Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% consensus and headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, has driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 85-90%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with firm August payrolls and elevated oil prices, has shifted trader sentiment toward tightening despite the current 3.50%-3.75% policy range holding steady since early 2026. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s communications and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will clarify whether officials see one or more hikes ahead, with futures markets now pricing additional tightening by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$3,297,496 वॉल्यूम
8 दिस, 2026
सितंबर बैठक
79%
अक्टूबर बैठक
82%
$3,297,496 वॉल्यूम
सितंबर बैठक
$1,570,325 वॉल्यूम
79%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$767,171 वॉल्यूम
82%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% consensus and headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, has driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 85-90%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with firm August payrolls and elevated oil prices, has shifted trader sentiment toward tightening despite the current 3.50%-3.75% policy range holding steady since early 2026. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s communications and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will clarify whether officials see one or more hikes ahead, with futures markets now pricing additional tightening by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,297,496समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% consensus and headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, has driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 85-90%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with firm August payrolls and elevated oil prices, has shifted trader sentiment toward tightening despite the current 3.50%-3.75% policy range holding steady since early 2026. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s communications and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will clarify whether officials see one or more hikes ahead, with futures markets now pricing additional tightening by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$3,297,496समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% consensus and headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, has driven market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 85-90%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, combined with firm August payrolls and elevated oil prices, has shifted trader sentiment toward tightening despite the current 3.50%-3.75% policy range holding steady since early 2026. Chairman Kevin Warsh’s communications and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will clarify whether officials see one or more hikes ahead, with futures markets now pricing additional tightening by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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