Recent inflation data, including August CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, combined with a hawkish July FOMC outcome, have driven Polymarket traders to price an 84.5% chance on "Other" sequences for the July–October decisions. The July meeting delivered a hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a hike, while futures markets now assign roughly 98% odds to a September increase. This leaves the three listed pause-heavy paths at just 15.4% combined, as participants see limited scope for cuts given sticky core readings and upward revisions to the median dot plot projection. The September 15–16 meeting, which includes updated economic projections, and the October session remain key near-term catalysts that could further shift the implied rate path if incoming labor or price data deviates from current trends.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOther 85%
Pause–Pause–Pause 12%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.4%
Pause–Cut–Cut 1.0%
$759,197 वॉल्यूम
$759,197 वॉल्यूम
28 अक्टू, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
12%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
85%
Other 85%
Pause–Pause–Pause 12%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.4%
Pause–Cut–Cut 1.0%
$759,197 वॉल्यूम
$759,197 वॉल्यूम
28 अक्टू, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$254,591 वॉल्यूम
12%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$64,021 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$43,698 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$29,422 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$323,976 वॉल्यूम
85%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation data, including August CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, combined with a hawkish July FOMC outcome, have driven Polymarket traders to price an 84.5% chance on "Other" sequences for the July–October decisions. The July meeting delivered a hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a hike, while futures markets now assign roughly 98% odds to a September increase. This leaves the three listed pause-heavy paths at just 15.4% combined, as participants see limited scope for cuts given sticky core readings and upward revisions to the median dot plot projection. The September 15–16 meeting, which includes updated economic projections, and the October session remain key near-term catalysts that could further shift the implied rate path if incoming labor or price data deviates from current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$759,197समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation data, including August CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, combined with a hawkish July FOMC outcome, have driven Polymarket traders to price an 84.5% chance on "Other" sequences for the July–October decisions. The July meeting delivered a hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a hike, while futures markets now assign roughly 98% odds to a September increase. This leaves the three listed pause-heavy paths at just 15.4% combined, as participants see limited scope for cuts given sticky core readings and upward revisions to the median dot plot projection. The September 15–16 meeting, which includes updated economic projections, and the October session remain key near-term catalysts that could further shift the implied rate path if incoming labor or price data deviates from current trends.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$759,197समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data, including August CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, combined with a hawkish July FOMC outcome, have driven Polymarket traders to price an 84.5% chance on "Other" sequences for the July–October decisions. The July meeting delivered a hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range on a 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a hike, while futures markets now assign roughly 98% odds to a September increase. This leaves the three listed pause-heavy paths at just 15.4% combined, as participants see limited scope for cuts given sticky core readings and upward revisions to the median dot plot projection. The September 15–16 meeting, which includes updated economic projections, and the October session remain key near-term catalysts that could further shift the implied rate path if incoming labor or price data deviates from current trends.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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