California’s solidly Democratic electorate and Xavier Becerra’s consolidation of party support after the June primary continue to underpin trader pricing in the general election margin market. Recent August polls show Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton by 12–18 points among likely voters, reflecting Becerra’s name recognition as former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary alongside endorsements from state Democratic leaders. Hilton’s 20% implied win probability and the spread across Becerra margin buckets capture remaining uncertainty over turnout differentials, mail-ballot dynamics, and any late shifts tied to economic conditions or national political currents before November 3. The balanced 50% outcomes on leading categories highlight how modest changes in voter participation or campaign events could still widen or narrow the final margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबेसेरा 40%+ 27%
बेसेरा 15-20% 20%
बेसेरा 10-15% 20%
बेसेरा 20-25% 18%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
बेसेरा 40%+
27%
बेसेरा 35-40%
6%
बेसेरा 30-35%
12%
बेसेरा 25-30%
10%
बेसेरा 20-25%
18%
बेसेरा 15-20%
12%
बेसेरा 10-15%
20%
बेसेरा 0-10%
15%
हिल्टन जीतते हैं
17%
बेसेरा 40%+ 27%
बेसेरा 15-20% 20%
बेसेरा 10-15% 20%
बेसेरा 20-25% 18%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
बेसेरा 40%+
$56 वॉल्यूम
27%
बेसेरा 35-40%
$41 वॉल्यूम
6%
बेसेरा 30-35%
$32 वॉल्यूम
12%
बेसेरा 25-30%
$32 वॉल्यूम
10%
बेसेरा 20-25%
$41 वॉल्यूम
18%
बेसेरा 15-20%
$51 वॉल्यूम
12%
बेसेरा 10-15%
$46 वॉल्यूम
20%
बेसेरा 0-10%
$36 वॉल्यूम
15%
हिल्टन जीतते हैं
$41 वॉल्यूम
17%
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California’s solidly Democratic electorate and Xavier Becerra’s consolidation of party support after the June primary continue to underpin trader pricing in the general election margin market. Recent August polls show Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton by 12–18 points among likely voters, reflecting Becerra’s name recognition as former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary alongside endorsements from state Democratic leaders. Hilton’s 20% implied win probability and the spread across Becerra margin buckets capture remaining uncertainty over turnout differentials, mail-ballot dynamics, and any late shifts tied to economic conditions or national political currents before November 3. The balanced 50% outcomes on leading categories highlight how modest changes in voter participation or campaign events could still widen or narrow the final margin.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$376समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California’s solidly Democratic electorate and Xavier Becerra’s consolidation of party support after the June primary continue to underpin trader pricing in the general election margin market. Recent August polls show Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton by 12–18 points among likely voters, reflecting Becerra’s name recognition as former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary alongside endorsements from state Democratic leaders. Hilton’s 20% implied win probability and the spread across Becerra margin buckets capture remaining uncertainty over turnout differentials, mail-ballot dynamics, and any late shifts tied to economic conditions or national political currents before November 3. The balanced 50% outcomes on leading categories highlight how modest changes in voter participation or campaign events could still widen or narrow the final margin.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$376समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...California’s solidly Democratic electorate and Xavier Becerra’s consolidation of party support after the June primary continue to underpin trader pricing in the general election margin market. Recent August polls show Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton by 12–18 points among likely voters, reflecting Becerra’s name recognition as former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary alongside endorsements from state Democratic leaders. Hilton’s 20% implied win probability and the spread across Becerra margin buckets capture remaining uncertainty over turnout differentials, mail-ballot dynamics, and any late shifts tied to economic conditions or national political currents before November 3. The balanced 50% outcomes on leading categories highlight how modest changes in voter participation or campaign events could still widen or narrow the final margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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