Recent August IPCA data showing a 4.22% year-over-year rate, below expectations and driven by temporary declines in energy and food prices, has reinforced trader focus on whether Brazil’s 2026 annual inflation will settle in the 4.50-4.99% or 5.00-5.49% range. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the Focus survey median holding near 5.00% after earlier upward revisions tied to resilient demand, fiscal stimulus ahead of elections, and commodity pressures. The Copom’s gradual Selic easing cycle, with a potential 25-basis-point cut imminent, and risks from exchange rates, services inflation, and weather-related food costs remain key swing factors that could shift the outcome within or outside the central bank’s 1.5-4.5% tolerance band by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5.00-5.49% 45.6%
4.50-4.99% 39.7%
5.50-5.99% 4.5%
6.00-6.49% 3.5%
$108,178 वॉल्यूम
$108,178 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
<1%
3.50-3.99%
1%
4.00-4.49%
2%
4.50-4.99%
40%
5.00-5.49%
46%
5.50-5.99%
5%
6.00-6.49%
4%
6.50-6.99%
<1%
7.00%+
<1%
5.00-5.49% 45.6%
4.50-4.99% 39.7%
5.50-5.99% 4.5%
6.00-6.49% 3.5%
$108,178 वॉल्यूम
$108,178 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<3.00%
$6,485 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$6,377 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.50-3.99%
$13,840 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.00-4.49%
$15,026 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.50-4.99%
$18,327 वॉल्यूम
40%
5.00-5.49%
$16,736 वॉल्यूम
46%
5.50-5.99%
$11,664 वॉल्यूम
5%
6.00-6.49%
$7,549 वॉल्यूम
4%
6.50-6.99%
$7,041 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7.00%+
$5,134 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent August IPCA data showing a 4.22% year-over-year rate, below expectations and driven by temporary declines in energy and food prices, has reinforced trader focus on whether Brazil’s 2026 annual inflation will settle in the 4.50-4.99% or 5.00-5.49% range. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the Focus survey median holding near 5.00% after earlier upward revisions tied to resilient demand, fiscal stimulus ahead of elections, and commodity pressures. The Copom’s gradual Selic easing cycle, with a potential 25-basis-point cut imminent, and risks from exchange rates, services inflation, and weather-related food costs remain key swing factors that could shift the outcome within or outside the central bank’s 1.5-4.5% tolerance band by year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$108,178समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent August IPCA data showing a 4.22% year-over-year rate, below expectations and driven by temporary declines in energy and food prices, has reinforced trader focus on whether Brazil’s 2026 annual inflation will settle in the 4.50-4.99% or 5.00-5.49% range. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the Focus survey median holding near 5.00% after earlier upward revisions tied to resilient demand, fiscal stimulus ahead of elections, and commodity pressures. The Copom’s gradual Selic easing cycle, with a potential 25-basis-point cut imminent, and risks from exchange rates, services inflation, and weather-related food costs remain key swing factors that could shift the outcome within or outside the central bank’s 1.5-4.5% tolerance band by year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$108,178समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August IPCA data showing a 4.22% year-over-year rate, below expectations and driven by temporary declines in energy and food prices, has reinforced trader focus on whether Brazil’s 2026 annual inflation will settle in the 4.50-4.99% or 5.00-5.49% range. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with the Focus survey median holding near 5.00% after earlier upward revisions tied to resilient demand, fiscal stimulus ahead of elections, and commodity pressures. The Copom’s gradual Selic easing cycle, with a potential 25-basis-point cut imminent, and risks from exchange rates, services inflation, and weather-related food costs remain key swing factors that could shift the outcome within or outside the central bank’s 1.5-4.5% tolerance band by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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