Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow lead over former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race heading into the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a closely contested rematch from 2022. Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show technical ties in both first-round and runoff scenarios, with margins inside the error range. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings near 56-61 percent on education and infrastructure, though crime remains a vulnerability. Neto's support has held among independents and right-leaning voters following his alignment with national opposition blocs after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. The official campaign launch on August 16, recent televised debates, and local alliance shifts among mayors continue to shape voter preferences in this swing-state contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजेरोनिमो रोड्रिग्स 55%
एसीएम नेटो 46%
क्लेबेर रोजा <1%
जोस कार्लोस अलेलुइया <1%
$117,304 वॉल्यूम
$117,304 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
जेरोनिमो रोड्रिग्स
55%
एसीएम नेटो
46%
क्लेबेर रोजा
<1%
जोस कार्लोस अलेलुइया
<1%
जोआँ रोमा
<1%
ब्रूनो सोरेस रीस
<1%
रुई कोस्टा
<1%
जेरोनिमो रोड्रिग्स 55%
एसीएम नेटो 46%
क्लेबेर रोजा <1%
जोस कार्लोस अलेलुइया <1%
$117,304 वॉल्यूम
$117,304 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
जेरोनिमो रोड्रिग्स
$37,118 वॉल्यूम
55%
एसीएम नेटो
$40,237 वॉल्यूम
46%
क्लेबेर रोजा
$12,792 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जोस कार्लोस अलेलुइया
$10,899 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जोआँ रोमा
$5,186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ब्रूनो सोरेस रीस
$5,325 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रुई कोस्टा
$5,747 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow lead over former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race heading into the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a closely contested rematch from 2022. Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show technical ties in both first-round and runoff scenarios, with margins inside the error range. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings near 56-61 percent on education and infrastructure, though crime remains a vulnerability. Neto's support has held among independents and right-leaning voters following his alignment with national opposition blocs after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. The official campaign launch on August 16, recent televised debates, and local alliance shifts among mayors continue to shape voter preferences in this swing-state contest.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$117,304समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow lead over former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race heading into the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a closely contested rematch from 2022. Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show technical ties in both first-round and runoff scenarios, with margins inside the error range. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings near 56-61 percent on education and infrastructure, though crime remains a vulnerability. Neto's support has held among independents and right-leaning voters following his alignment with national opposition blocs after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. The official campaign launch on August 16, recent televised debates, and local alliance shifts among mayors continue to shape voter preferences in this swing-state contest.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$117,304समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow lead over former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race heading into the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a closely contested rematch from 2022. Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from July and August, show technical ties in both first-round and runoff scenarios, with margins inside the error range. Rodrigues benefits from stable approval ratings near 56-61 percent on education and infrastructure, though crime remains a vulnerability. Neto's support has held among independents and right-leaning voters following his alignment with national opposition blocs after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. The official campaign launch on August 16, recent televised debates, and local alliance shifts among mayors continue to shape voter preferences in this swing-state contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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