The high implied probability of “No” on charges stemming from the Epstein disclosures reflects the absence of new U.S. federal or state indictments tied to the millions of pages released by the Justice Department under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Multiple tranches totaling over 3.5 million documents, videos, and images were published by early 2026, yet department reviews concluded there was insufficient credible evidence to support additional prosecutions beyond prior cases. Congressional oversight, including House committee transcripts and contempt proceedings against figures such as Leon Black, has continued without producing qualifying charges. European investigations have expanded but await U.S. assistance that has not materialized, while the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaches with no developments altering the trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
11% chance
$140,250 Vol.
$140,250 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Oui
11% chance
$140,250 Vol.
$140,250 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The high implied probability of “No” on charges stemming from the Epstein disclosures reflects the absence of new U.S. federal or state indictments tied to the millions of pages released by the Justice Department under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Multiple tranches totaling over 3.5 million documents, videos, and images were published by early 2026, yet department reviews concluded there was insufficient credible evidence to support additional prosecutions beyond prior cases. Congressional oversight, including House committee transcripts and contempt proceedings against figures such as Leon Black, has continued without producing qualifying charges. European investigations have expanded but await U.S. assistance that has not materialized, while the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaches with no developments altering the trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$140,250Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The high implied probability of “No” on charges stemming from the Epstein disclosures reflects the absence of new U.S. federal or state indictments tied to the millions of pages released by the Justice Department under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Multiple tranches totaling over 3.5 million documents, videos, and images were published by early 2026, yet department reviews concluded there was insufficient credible evidence to support additional prosecutions beyond prior cases. Congressional oversight, including House committee transcripts and contempt proceedings against figures such as Leon Black, has continued without producing qualifying charges. European investigations have expanded but await U.S. assistance that has not materialized, while the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaches with no developments altering the trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$140,250Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The high implied probability of “No” on charges stemming from the Epstein disclosures reflects the absence of new U.S. federal or state indictments tied to the millions of pages released by the Justice Department under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Multiple tranches totaling over 3.5 million documents, videos, and images were published by early 2026, yet department reviews concluded there was insufficient credible evidence to support additional prosecutions beyond prior cases. Congressional oversight, including House committee transcripts and contempt proceedings against figures such as Leon Black, has continued without producing qualifying charges. European investigations have expanded but await U.S. assistance that has not materialized, while the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaches with no developments altering the trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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