Wisconsin's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that underpins the 90.5% market consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor, produced a clear Republican primary winner in Michael Alfonso on August 11, backed by a Trump endorsement and family ties to the prior officeholder. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent double-digit GOP margins and the party's 20-point presidential performance there in 2024. Democratic nominee Fred Clark faces structural headwinds in this rural northwestern Wisconsin district. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited Democratic momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$39,226 Vol.
$39,226 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$39,226 Vol.
$39,226 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$20,931 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$18,295 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that underpins the 90.5% market consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor, produced a clear Republican primary winner in Michael Alfonso on August 11, backed by a Trump endorsement and family ties to the prior officeholder. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent double-digit GOP margins and the party's 20-point presidential performance there in 2024. Democratic nominee Fred Clark faces structural headwinds in this rural northwestern Wisconsin district. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited Democratic momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$39,226Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that underpins the 90.5% market consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor, produced a clear Republican primary winner in Michael Alfonso on August 11, backed by a Trump endorsement and family ties to the prior officeholder. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent double-digit GOP margins and the party's 20-point presidential performance there in 2024. Democratic nominee Fred Clark faces structural headwinds in this rural northwestern Wisconsin district. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited Democratic momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,226Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that underpins the 90.5% market consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany opted to run for governor, produced a clear Republican primary winner in Michael Alfonso on August 11, backed by a Trump endorsement and family ties to the prior officeholder. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent double-digit GOP margins and the party's 20-point presidential performance there in 2024. Democratic nominee Fred Clark faces structural headwinds in this rural northwestern Wisconsin district. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited Democratic momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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