OpenAI’s rapid iteration following the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a brief “gpt-5.6” routing entry spotted in Codex backend logs in May, has fueled trader expectations for an imminent public release. Leaks referencing internal checkpoints like “kindle-alpha,” a potential 1.5-million-token context window, and competitive pressure from models such as Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 have reinforced the mid-to-late June window. With no official announcement or system card yet, the 52% implied probability on June 22–28 reflects aggregated trader bets on historical cadence and unconfirmed signals rather than confirmed timelines, while the low odds on an earlier window highlight the absence of verified deployment evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJune 22–June 28 52.2%
June 15–June 21 25%
Not released by June 28 13.0%
June 8–June 14 9.6%
$137,486 Vol.
$137,486 Vol.
28 juin 2026
June 8–June 14
10%
June 15–June 21
25%
June 22–June 28
52%
Not released by June 28
13%
June 22–June 28 52.2%
June 15–June 21 25%
Not released by June 28 13.0%
June 8–June 14 9.6%
$137,486 Vol.
$137,486 Vol.
28 juin 2026
June 8–June 14
$34,779 Vol.
10%
June 15–June 21
$18,086 Vol.
25%
June 22–June 28
$14,978 Vol.
52%
Not released by June 28
$27,227 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration following the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a brief “gpt-5.6” routing entry spotted in Codex backend logs in May, has fueled trader expectations for an imminent public release. Leaks referencing internal checkpoints like “kindle-alpha,” a potential 1.5-million-token context window, and competitive pressure from models such as Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 have reinforced the mid-to-late June window. With no official announcement or system card yet, the 52% implied probability on June 22–28 reflects aggregated trader bets on historical cadence and unconfirmed signals rather than confirmed timelines, while the low odds on an earlier window highlight the absence of verified deployment evidence.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$137,486Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration following the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a brief “gpt-5.6” routing entry spotted in Codex backend logs in May, has fueled trader expectations for an imminent public release. Leaks referencing internal checkpoints like “kindle-alpha,” a potential 1.5-million-token context window, and competitive pressure from models such as Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 have reinforced the mid-to-late June window. With no official announcement or system card yet, the 52% implied probability on June 22–28 reflects aggregated trader bets on historical cadence and unconfirmed signals rather than confirmed timelines, while the low odds on an earlier window highlight the absence of verified deployment evidence.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$137,486Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid iteration following the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a brief “gpt-5.6” routing entry spotted in Codex backend logs in May, has fueled trader expectations for an imminent public release. Leaks referencing internal checkpoints like “kindle-alpha,” a potential 1.5-million-token context window, and competitive pressure from models such as Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 have reinforced the mid-to-late June window. With no official announcement or system card yet, the 52% implied probability on June 22–28 reflects aggregated trader bets on historical cadence and unconfirmed signals rather than confirmed timelines, while the low odds on an earlier window highlight the absence of verified deployment evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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