Google's promise at I/O 2026 to deliver Gemini 3.5 Pro in June, following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, anchors trader focus on late-month dates. Sundar Pichai's onstage commitment created a narrow window that aligns with Google's pattern of preview-to-stable rollouts and benchmark-driven iterations in the Gemini 3.x series. The 39.5% implied probability on June 30 reflects expectations of final testing or end-of-quarter timing, while earlier June odds capture possible earlier previews; the modest share for no release by month-end acknowledges typical slippage in large language model launches amid competitive pressure from other AI labs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30 juin 40%
23 juin 23%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin 13.7%
26 juin 6%
$115,515 Vol.
$115,515 Vol.
30 juin 2026
14 juin
1%
15 juin
<1%
16 juin
2%
17 juin
1%
18 juin
4%
19 juin
1%
20 juin
1%
21 juin
1%
22 juin
5%
23 juin
23%
24 juin
4%
25 juin
<1%
26 juin
6%
27 juin
<1%
28 juin
<1%
29 juin
<1%
30 juin
40%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin
14%
30 juin 40%
23 juin 23%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin 13.7%
26 juin 6%
$115,515 Vol.
$115,515 Vol.
30 juin 2026
14 juin
$2,635 Vol.
1%
15 juin
$1,937 Vol.
<1%
16 juin
$3,411 Vol.
2%
17 juin
$3,530 Vol.
1%
18 juin
$2,595 Vol.
4%
19 juin
$2,547 Vol.
1%
20 juin
$1,454 Vol.
1%
21 juin
$1,501 Vol.
1%
22 juin
$4,594 Vol.
5%
23 juin
$4,536 Vol.
23%
24 juin
$2,942 Vol.
4%
25 juin
$1,456 Vol.
<1%
26 juin
$3,446 Vol.
6%
27 juin
$2,019 Vol.
<1%
28 juin
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
29 juin
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
30 juin
$6,422 Vol.
40%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 juin
$17,842 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's promise at I/O 2026 to deliver Gemini 3.5 Pro in June, following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, anchors trader focus on late-month dates. Sundar Pichai's onstage commitment created a narrow window that aligns with Google's pattern of preview-to-stable rollouts and benchmark-driven iterations in the Gemini 3.x series. The 39.5% implied probability on June 30 reflects expectations of final testing or end-of-quarter timing, while earlier June odds capture possible earlier previews; the modest share for no release by month-end acknowledges typical slippage in large language model launches amid competitive pressure from other AI labs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$115,515Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's promise at I/O 2026 to deliver Gemini 3.5 Pro in June, following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, anchors trader focus on late-month dates. Sundar Pichai's onstage commitment created a narrow window that aligns with Google's pattern of preview-to-stable rollouts and benchmark-driven iterations in the Gemini 3.x series. The 39.5% implied probability on June 30 reflects expectations of final testing or end-of-quarter timing, while earlier June odds capture possible earlier previews; the modest share for no release by month-end acknowledges typical slippage in large language model launches amid competitive pressure from other AI labs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$115,515Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's promise at I/O 2026 to deliver Gemini 3.5 Pro in June, following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant, anchors trader focus on late-month dates. Sundar Pichai's onstage commitment created a narrow window that aligns with Google's pattern of preview-to-stable rollouts and benchmark-driven iterations in the Gemini 3.x series. The 39.5% implied probability on June 30 reflects expectations of final testing or end-of-quarter timing, while earlier June odds capture possible earlier previews; the modest share for no release by month-end acknowledges typical slippage in large language model launches amid competitive pressure from other AI labs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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