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icon for Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ?

Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ?

icon for Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ?

Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ?

sept. 4

sept. 4

38,0–38,4 48%

38,5–38,9 26%

37,0–37,4 16.3%

37,5–37,9 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

38,0–38,4 48%

38,5–38,9 26%

37,0–37,4 16.3%

37,5–37,9 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<37,0

$67 Vol.

13%

37,0–37,4

$21 Vol.

16%

37,5–37,9

$371 Vol.

22%

38,0–38,4

$232 Vol.

49%

38,5–38,9

$1,362 Vol.

26%

39,0+

$201 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% and others near 38-40% as of late August 2026. Trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.9 range because recent surveys show modest stability amid persistent net-negative ratings on the economy, inflation, and foreign policy. Developments including the Iran conflict’s effects on energy prices and a decline in strong Republican support have kept overall figures underwater without sharp recent shifts. With September 4 just days away, the market reflects expectations that short-term polling will remain near current levels unless a major event alters sentiment.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,254
Date de fin
4 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% and others near 38-40% as of late August 2026. Trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.9 range because recent surveys show modest stability amid persistent net-negative ratings on the economy, inflation, and foreign policy. Developments including the Iran conflict’s effects on energy prices and a decline in strong Republican support have kept overall figures underwater without sharp recent shifts. With September 4 just days away, the market reflects expectations that short-term polling will remain near current levels unless a major event alters sentiment.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,254
Date de fin
4 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 38,0–38,4 » à 49%, suivi de « 38,5–38,9 » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ? » est « 38,0–38,4 » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 38,5–38,9 » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Note d'approbation de Trump le 4 septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.