Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% and others near 38-40% as of late August 2026. Trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.9 range because recent surveys show modest stability amid persistent net-negative ratings on the economy, inflation, and foreign policy. Developments including the Iran conflict’s effects on energy prices and a decline in strong Republican support have kept overall figures underwater without sharp recent shifts. With September 4 just days away, the market reflects expectations that short-term polling will remain near current levels unless a major event alters sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,0–38,4 48%
38,5–38,9 26%
37,0–37,4 16.3%
37,5–37,9 14%
<37,0
13%
37,0–37,4
16%
37,5–37,9
22%
38,0–38,4
49%
38,5–38,9
26%
39,0+
14%
38,0–38,4 48%
38,5–38,9 26%
37,0–37,4 16.3%
37,5–37,9 14%
<37,0
13%
37,0–37,4
16%
37,5–37,9
22%
38,0–38,4
49%
38,5–38,9
26%
39,0+
14%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% and others near 38-40% as of late August 2026. Trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.9 range because recent surveys show modest stability amid persistent net-negative ratings on the economy, inflation, and foreign policy. Developments including the Iran conflict’s effects on energy prices and a decline in strong Republican support have kept overall figures underwater without sharp recent shifts. With September 4 just days away, the market reflects expectations that short-term polling will remain near current levels unless a major event alters sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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