The market’s heavy tilt toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening reflects the film’s soft Friday debut of just $3 million across 3,330 theaters, following muted Thursday previews of roughly $850,000. Earlier long-range tracking of $18–23 million has steadily declined to $10–14 million amid mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes in the high 30s to low 40s) and limited audience awareness for this contemplative post-apocalyptic drama from Ridley Scott. Competition from the dominant holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day and same-day release Coyote vs. Acme further pressured results in a late-summer window. Traders appear to price in final estimates landing well below the revised forecasts, consistent with recent genre fatigue for non-franchise sci-fi entries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « The Dog Stars »
<8 M 70.6%
8-9 millions 26.2%
9-10 M 1.4%
10-11 M <1%
$40,618 Vol.
$40,618 Vol.
<8 M
71%
8-9 millions
26%
9-10 M
1%
10-11 M
<1%
11-12M
<1%
12M+
<1%
<8 M 70.6%
8-9 millions 26.2%
9-10 M 1.4%
10-11 M <1%
$40,618 Vol.
$40,618 Vol.
<8 M
71%
8-9 millions
26%
9-10 M
1%
10-11 M
<1%
11-12M
<1%
12M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The market’s heavy tilt toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening reflects the film’s soft Friday debut of just $3 million across 3,330 theaters, following muted Thursday previews of roughly $850,000. Earlier long-range tracking of $18–23 million has steadily declined to $10–14 million amid mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes in the high 30s to low 40s) and limited audience awareness for this contemplative post-apocalyptic drama from Ridley Scott. Competition from the dominant holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day and same-day release Coyote vs. Acme further pressured results in a late-summer window. Traders appear to price in final estimates landing well below the revised forecasts, consistent with recent genre fatigue for non-franchise sci-fi entries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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