Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur
John Malkovich 27.4%
Matt Damon 25%
Tom Cruise 17%
Andrew Scott 17%
$120,950 Vol.
$120,950 Vol.

John Malkovich
27%

Matt Damon
25%

Tom Cruise
17%

Andrew Scott
17%

Robert Pattinson
8%

Sebastian Stan
2%

Jeremy Strong
2%

Ryan Gosling
2%

Timothée Chalamet
1%

Jaafar Jackson
1%

Sam Rockwell
1%

Pedro Pascal
1%

Adam Driver
<1%

Brad Pitt
<1%

Javier Bardem
<1%

Robert Aramayo
<1%

John Turturro
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
John Malkovich 27.4%
Matt Damon 25%
Tom Cruise 17%
Andrew Scott 17%
$120,950 Vol.
$120,950 Vol.

John Malkovich
27%

Matt Damon
25%

Tom Cruise
17%

Andrew Scott
17%

Robert Pattinson
8%

Sebastian Stan
2%

Jeremy Strong
2%

Ryan Gosling
2%

Timothée Chalamet
1%

Jaafar Jackson
1%

Sam Rockwell
1%

Pedro Pascal
1%

Adam Driver
<1%

Brad Pitt
<1%

Javier Bardem
<1%

Robert Aramayo
<1%

John Turturro
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes