Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.2% implied probability due to his record-breaking 2025-26 campaign, featuring 73 goals and eight assists across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich alongside Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles. Traders have priced in this domestic dominance and Kane's six World Cup goals for England as decisive factors ahead of the October ceremony. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.1% on the strength of Barcelona form and Spain's tournament showings, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé hover around 7% each following solid but less prolific seasons. Recent World Cup performances shifted sentiment toward Kane and Yamal, reflecting voter emphasis on consistent goal contributions and silverware over the full club-and-country cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.1%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,572,614 Vol.
$28,572,614 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.1%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.2%
$28,572,614 Vol.
$28,572,614 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 61.2% implied probability due to his record-breaking 2025-26 campaign, featuring 73 goals and eight assists across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich alongside Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles. Traders have priced in this domestic dominance and Kane's six World Cup goals for England as decisive factors ahead of the October ceremony. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.1% on the strength of Barcelona form and Spain's tournament showings, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé hover around 7% each following solid but less prolific seasons. Recent World Cup performances shifted sentiment toward Kane and Yamal, reflecting voter emphasis on consistent goal contributions and silverware over the full club-and-country cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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