Skip to main content
icon for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Politique·Primaires

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

icon for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Politique·Primaires

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

Graham Nordone 20%+ 37%

Graham Nordone 10–15% 37%

Graham Nordone <5% 37%

Sanford wins 37%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Graham Nordone 20%+ 37%

Graham Nordone 10–15% 37%

Graham Nordone <5% 37%

Sanford wins 37%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Graham Nordone 20%+

Graham Nordone 20%+

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graham Nordone 15–20%

Graham Nordone 15–20%

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Graham Nordone 10–15%

Graham Nordone 10–15%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graham Nordone 5–10%

Graham Nordone 5–10%

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Graham Nordone <5%

Graham Nordone <5%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Norman <5%

Norman <5%

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Norman 5%+

Norman 5%+

$121 Vol.

41%

icon for Fry <5%

Fry <5%

$121 Vol.

41%

icon for Fry 5%+

Fry 5%+

$140 Vol.

47%

icon for Sanford wins

Sanford wins

$0 Vol.

37%

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The crowded field in South Carolina's August 11 Republican special Senate primary has produced closely matched polling among leading contenders Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, and Russell Fry, with Mark Sanford also in the mix. Recent Emerson College and other surveys show Graham Nordone ahead but well short of a majority, Norman and Fry within striking distance on name recognition and endorsements, and a large undecided bloc. This fragmentation, combined with the tight timeline after Lindsey Graham's death, keeps projected victory margins narrow across multiple categories. A final debate and early voting patterns could still shift support among conservative voters or alter turnout dynamics in key congressional districts before primary day.

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$382
Date de fin
11 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The crowded field in South Carolina's August 11 Republican special Senate primary has produced closely matched polling among leading contenders Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, and Russell Fry, with Mark Sanford also in the mix. Recent Emerson College and other surveys show Graham Nordone ahead but well short of a majority, Norman and Fry within striking distance on name recognition and endorsements, and a large undecided bloc. This fragmentation, combined with the tight timeline after Lindsey Graham's death, keeps projected victory margins narrow across multiple categories. A final debate and early voting patterns could still shift support among conservative voters or alter turnout dynamics in key congressional districts before primary day.

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$382
Date de fin
11 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Connexes

icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

62%
icon for Ralph Norman arrivera-t-il en deuxième position lors du premier tour de la primaire spéciale républicaine pour le Sénat en Caroline du Sud ?

Ralph Norman arrivera-t-il en deuxième position lors du premier tour de la primaire spéciale républicaine pour le Sénat en Caroline du Sud ?

48%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti républicain gagnera-t-il l'élection sénatoriale de Caroline du Sud en 2026 avec une avance de 20 à 25 % ?

Le candidat du Parti républicain gagnera-t-il l'élection sénatoriale de Caroline du Sud en 2026 avec une avance de 20 à 25 % ?

41%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Fry 5%+ » à 47%, suivi de « Norman 5%+ » à 41%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 7, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory » est « Fry 5%+ » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Norman 5%+ » à 41%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.