The 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probability as traders price in an open field after the May 2026 resignation of the prior Morena incumbent amid U.S. cartel-related charges. Early polling shows the party holding a statewide preference lead near 38 percent, yet internal nomination reviews and multiple aspirants—including Imelda Castro Castro and others listed—have kept individual odds compressed. Security challenges tied to organized crime continue to frame campaign dynamics, while upcoming party selection steps and any federal signals on alliances represent the main near-term catalysts that could consolidate support or widen gaps among contenders before primary processes intensify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMario Zamora Gastélum 33%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 32%
Roxana Rubio Valdez 32%
María Fernanda Rivera 31%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
33%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
32%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
32%

María Fernanda Rivera
31%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
27%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
27%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
27%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
26%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
26%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
24%

Imelda Castro Castro
22%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
22%

Sergio Torres Félix
14%

Omar López Campos
13%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
12%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
11%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
7%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
6%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
6%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
33%
Mario Zamora Gastélum 33%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 32%
Roxana Rubio Valdez 32%
María Fernanda Rivera 31%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
33%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
32%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
32%

María Fernanda Rivera
31%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
27%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
27%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
27%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
26%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
26%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
24%

Imelda Castro Castro
22%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
22%

Sergio Torres Félix
14%

Omar López Campos
13%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
12%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
11%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
7%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
6%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
6%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
33%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probability as traders price in an open field after the May 2026 resignation of the prior Morena incumbent amid U.S. cartel-related charges. Early polling shows the party holding a statewide preference lead near 38 percent, yet internal nomination reviews and multiple aspirants—including Imelda Castro Castro and others listed—have kept individual odds compressed. Security challenges tied to organized crime continue to frame campaign dynamics, while upcoming party selection steps and any federal signals on alliances represent the main near-term catalysts that could consolidate support or widen gaps among contenders before primary processes intensify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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