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icon for SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ?

SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ?

icon for SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ?

SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause by a 6-3 vote, with Chief Justice Roberts writing the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. No petition for rehearing was filed by the July 27 deadline, despite earlier administration statements suggesting one might be submitted. The Court grants rehearings only in rare cases involving overlooked precedent, newly discovered facts, or clear errors, none of which appear present after a full term that included oral argument and a detailed opinion. With the 2025-2026 term concluded and no active case pending on the issue, traders assign very low odds to any grant by December 31. Shifts could still arise from an unanticipated late filing, a related new case reaching the docket, or unforeseen changes in Court composition before year-end.

The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.

If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,762
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause by a 6-3 vote, with Chief Justice Roberts writing the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. No petition for rehearing was filed by the July 27 deadline, despite earlier administration statements suggesting one might be submitted. The Court grants rehearings only in rare cases involving overlooked precedent, newly discovered facts, or clear errors, none of which appear present after a full term that included oral argument and a detailed opinion. With the 2025-2026 term concluded and no active case pending on the issue, traders assign very low odds to any grant by December 31. Shifts could still arise from an unanticipated late filing, a related new case reaching the docket, or unforeseen changes in Court composition before year-end.

The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.

If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,762
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « La Cour suprême accorde-t-elle à Trump une nouvelle audience sur le droit du sol d'ici le 31 décembre ? » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 4¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 4% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ? » est « La Cour suprême accorde-t-elle à Trump une nouvelle audience sur le droit du sol d'ici le 31 décembre ? » à seulement 4%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « SCOTUS accorde à Trump la citoyenneté du droit de naissance Réélection d'ici le 31 décembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.