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icon for Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ?
Monde·Trump

Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ?

icon for Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ?
Monde·Trump

Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ?

Oui

12% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

12% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Afghanistan (including the Taliban) sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that constitutes an agreement between the two countries explicitly involving Afghan minerals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any formal written agreement between the United States and Afghanistan that explicitly involves Afghan minerals will qualify, regardless of its scope, substance, duration, legal form, or significance. This includes narrow, technical, procedural, temporary, partial, single-issue, and non-binding agreements. Qualifying subject matter includes but is not limited to partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Afghan minerals. Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Afghanistan. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures. If the written instrument is recognized by the United States and Afghanistan as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both countries without signature will qualify. Formal adoption may be established by official actions, including: (i) an official joint statement announcing that the United States and Afghanistan have adopted, approved, executed, concluded, or otherwise finalized the instrument; (ii) mutual official confirmation that the same published instrument has been agreed to, adopted, approved, executed, or concluded by both countries; (iii) adoption, approval, or endorsement through an official resolution, ministerial decision, executive decision, or equivalent institutional act, where that act is the mechanism by which the relevant country adopts the instrument; or (iv) an exchange of official diplomatic notes or letters confirming acceptance of the same instrument. Whether an instrument qualifies will be primarily determined by its officially released text. A qualifying instrument must be signed or formally adopted by both the United States and Afghanistan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an instrument is signed or formally adopted by that time, but the complete text has not been released within 28 days of adoption, official and definitive announcements from the United States and Afghanistan regarding the text, or a consensus of major news agencies of record, may be used to determine whether the instrument qualifies. If, on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the text of such an instrument has not been released and genuine material ambiguity remains as to whether it satisfies this market’s requirements, settlement may be postponed to allow for 28 calendar days after the date of adoption to pass pending release of the text. Once a diplomatic instrument has been signed or formally adopted without signature by both the United States and Afghanistan and confirmed to satisfy the requirements of a qualifying written diplomatic instrument, this market’s condition is met, regardless of whether the instrument later enters into force, is ratified, receives legislative or treaty consent, or is subsequently repudiated, withdrawn from, or not implemented by the United States or Afghanistan. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States and Afghanistan and the officially released text of an instrument; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US State Department’s early September rejection of the Taliban’s late-August overture for American investment in Afghanistan’s estimated $1 trillion mineral reserves has reinforced trader expectations that no bilateral mineral agreement will be signed by December 31, 2026. Officials cited the group’s terrorist designation and concerns that any engagement would bolster its finances and domestic policies, maintaining long-standing sanctions and non-recognition. The Trump administration has instead advanced critical minerals partnerships with other nations such as Kazakhstan and Pakistan. While the Taliban continues to seek sanctions relief and frozen-asset access through diplomatic channels, no formal negotiations or written instruments have emerged, and procedural barriers to engagement with the current Afghan authorities remain substantial.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Afghanistan (including the Taliban) sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that constitutes an agreement between the two countries explicitly involving Afghan minerals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any formal written agreement between the United States and Afghanistan that explicitly involves Afghan minerals will qualify, regardless of its scope, substance, duration, legal form, or significance. This includes narrow, technical, procedural, temporary, partial, single-issue, and non-binding agreements. Qualifying subject matter includes but is not limited to partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Afghan minerals.

Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Afghanistan. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures.

If the written instrument is recognized by the United States and Afghanistan as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both countries without signature will qualify. Formal adoption may be established by official actions, including: (i) an official joint statement announcing that the United States and Afghanistan have adopted, approved, executed, concluded, or otherwise finalized the instrument; (ii) mutual official confirmation that the same published instrument has been agreed to, adopted, approved, executed, or concluded by both countries; (iii) adoption, approval, or endorsement through an official resolution, ministerial decision, executive decision, or equivalent institutional act, where that act is the mechanism by which the relevant country adopts the instrument; or (iv) an exchange of official diplomatic notes or letters confirming acceptance of the same instrument.

Whether an instrument qualifies will be primarily determined by its officially released text. A qualifying instrument must be signed or formally adopted by both the United States and Afghanistan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an instrument is signed or formally adopted by that time, but the complete text has not been released within 28 days of adoption, official and definitive announcements from the United States and Afghanistan regarding the text, or a consensus of major news agencies of record, may be used to determine whether the instrument qualifies. If, on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the text of such an instrument has not been released and genuine material ambiguity remains as to whether it satisfies this market’s requirements, settlement may be postponed to allow for 28 calendar days after the date of adoption to pass pending release of the text.

Once a diplomatic instrument has been signed or formally adopted without signature by both the United States and Afghanistan and confirmed to satisfy the requirements of a qualifying written diplomatic instrument, this market’s condition is met, regardless of whether the instrument later enters into force, is ratified, receives legislative or treaty consent, or is subsequently repudiated, withdrawn from, or not implemented by the United States or Afghanistan.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States and Afghanistan and the officially released text of an instrument; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Afghanistan (including the Taliban) sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that constitutes an agreement between the two countries explicitly involving Afghan minerals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any formal written agreement between the United States and Afghanistan that explicitly involves Afghan minerals will qualify, regardless of its scope, substance, duration, legal form, or significance. This includes narrow, technical, procedural, temporary, partial, single-issue, and non-binding agreements. Qualifying subject matter includes but is not limited to partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Afghan minerals. Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Afghanistan. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures. If the written instrument is recognized by the United States and Afghanistan as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both countries without signature will qualify. Formal adoption may be established by official actions, including: (i) an official joint statement announcing that the United States and Afghanistan have adopted, approved, executed, concluded, or otherwise finalized the instrument; (ii) mutual official confirmation that the same published instrument has been agreed to, adopted, approved, executed, or concluded by both countries; (iii) adoption, approval, or endorsement through an official resolution, ministerial decision, executive decision, or equivalent institutional act, where that act is the mechanism by which the relevant country adopts the instrument; or (iv) an exchange of official diplomatic notes or letters confirming acceptance of the same instrument. Whether an instrument qualifies will be primarily determined by its officially released text. A qualifying instrument must be signed or formally adopted by both the United States and Afghanistan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an instrument is signed or formally adopted by that time, but the complete text has not been released within 28 days of adoption, official and definitive announcements from the United States and Afghanistan regarding the text, or a consensus of major news agencies of record, may be used to determine whether the instrument qualifies. If, on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the text of such an instrument has not been released and genuine material ambiguity remains as to whether it satisfies this market’s requirements, settlement may be postponed to allow for 28 calendar days after the date of adoption to pass pending release of the text. Once a diplomatic instrument has been signed or formally adopted without signature by both the United States and Afghanistan and confirmed to satisfy the requirements of a qualifying written diplomatic instrument, this market’s condition is met, regardless of whether the instrument later enters into force, is ratified, receives legislative or treaty consent, or is subsequently repudiated, withdrawn from, or not implemented by the United States or Afghanistan. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States and Afghanistan and the officially released text of an instrument; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Afghanistan (including the Taliban) sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that constitutes an agreement between the two countries explicitly involving Afghan minerals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any formal written agreement between the United States and Afghanistan that explicitly involves Afghan minerals will qualify, regardless of its scope, substance, duration, legal form, or significance. This includes narrow, technical, procedural, temporary, partial, single-issue, and non-binding agreements. Qualifying subject matter includes but is not limited to partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Afghan minerals. Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Afghanistan. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures. If the written instrument is recognized by the United States and Afghanistan as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both countries without signature will qualify. Formal adoption may be established by official actions, including: (i) an official joint statement announcing that the United States and Afghanistan have adopted, approved, executed, concluded, or otherwise finalized the instrument; (ii) mutual official confirmation that the same published instrument has been agreed to, adopted, approved, executed, or concluded by both countries; (iii) adoption, approval, or endorsement through an official resolution, ministerial decision, executive decision, or equivalent institutional act, where that act is the mechanism by which the relevant country adopts the instrument; or (iv) an exchange of official diplomatic notes or letters confirming acceptance of the same instrument. Whether an instrument qualifies will be primarily determined by its officially released text. A qualifying instrument must be signed or formally adopted by both the United States and Afghanistan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an instrument is signed or formally adopted by that time, but the complete text has not been released within 28 days of adoption, official and definitive announcements from the United States and Afghanistan regarding the text, or a consensus of major news agencies of record, may be used to determine whether the instrument qualifies. If, on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the text of such an instrument has not been released and genuine material ambiguity remains as to whether it satisfies this market’s requirements, settlement may be postponed to allow for 28 calendar days after the date of adoption to pass pending release of the text. Once a diplomatic instrument has been signed or formally adopted without signature by both the United States and Afghanistan and confirmed to satisfy the requirements of a qualifying written diplomatic instrument, this market’s condition is met, regardless of whether the instrument later enters into force, is ratified, receives legislative or treaty consent, or is subsequently repudiated, withdrawn from, or not implemented by the United States or Afghanistan. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States and Afghanistan and the officially released text of an instrument; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US State Department’s early September rejection of the Taliban’s late-August overture for American investment in Afghanistan’s estimated $1 trillion mineral reserves has reinforced trader expectations that no bilateral mineral agreement will be signed by December 31, 2026. Officials cited the group’s terrorist designation and concerns that any engagement would bolster its finances and domestic policies, maintaining long-standing sanctions and non-recognition. The Trump administration has instead advanced critical minerals partnerships with other nations such as Kazakhstan and Pakistan. While the Taliban continues to seek sanctions relief and frozen-asset access through diplomatic channels, no formal negotiations or written instruments have emerged, and procedural barriers to engagement with the current Afghan authorities remain substantial.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Afghanistan (including the Taliban) sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that constitutes an agreement between the two countries explicitly involving Afghan minerals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any formal written agreement between the United States and Afghanistan that explicitly involves Afghan minerals will qualify, regardless of its scope, substance, duration, legal form, or significance. This includes narrow, technical, procedural, temporary, partial, single-issue, and non-binding agreements. Qualifying subject matter includes but is not limited to partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Afghan minerals.

Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Afghanistan. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures.

If the written instrument is recognized by the United States and Afghanistan as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both countries without signature will qualify. Formal adoption may be established by official actions, including: (i) an official joint statement announcing that the United States and Afghanistan have adopted, approved, executed, concluded, or otherwise finalized the instrument; (ii) mutual official confirmation that the same published instrument has been agreed to, adopted, approved, executed, or concluded by both countries; (iii) adoption, approval, or endorsement through an official resolution, ministerial decision, executive decision, or equivalent institutional act, where that act is the mechanism by which the relevant country adopts the instrument; or (iv) an exchange of official diplomatic notes or letters confirming acceptance of the same instrument.

Whether an instrument qualifies will be primarily determined by its officially released text. A qualifying instrument must be signed or formally adopted by both the United States and Afghanistan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an instrument is signed or formally adopted by that time, but the complete text has not been released within 28 days of adoption, official and definitive announcements from the United States and Afghanistan regarding the text, or a consensus of major news agencies of record, may be used to determine whether the instrument qualifies. If, on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the text of such an instrument has not been released and genuine material ambiguity remains as to whether it satisfies this market’s requirements, settlement may be postponed to allow for 28 calendar days after the date of adoption to pass pending release of the text.

Once a diplomatic instrument has been signed or formally adopted without signature by both the United States and Afghanistan and confirmed to satisfy the requirements of a qualifying written diplomatic instrument, this market’s condition is met, regardless of whether the instrument later enters into force, is ratified, receives legislative or treaty consent, or is subsequently repudiated, withdrawn from, or not implemented by the United States or Afghanistan.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States and Afghanistan and the officially released text of an instrument; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Afghanistan (including the Taliban) sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that constitutes an agreement between the two countries explicitly involving Afghan minerals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any formal written agreement between the United States and Afghanistan that explicitly involves Afghan minerals will qualify, regardless of its scope, substance, duration, legal form, or significance. This includes narrow, technical, procedural, temporary, partial, single-issue, and non-binding agreements. Qualifying subject matter includes but is not limited to partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Afghan minerals. Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Afghanistan. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures. If the written instrument is recognized by the United States and Afghanistan as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both countries without signature will qualify. Formal adoption may be established by official actions, including: (i) an official joint statement announcing that the United States and Afghanistan have adopted, approved, executed, concluded, or otherwise finalized the instrument; (ii) mutual official confirmation that the same published instrument has been agreed to, adopted, approved, executed, or concluded by both countries; (iii) adoption, approval, or endorsement through an official resolution, ministerial decision, executive decision, or equivalent institutional act, where that act is the mechanism by which the relevant country adopts the instrument; or (iv) an exchange of official diplomatic notes or letters confirming acceptance of the same instrument. Whether an instrument qualifies will be primarily determined by its officially released text. A qualifying instrument must be signed or formally adopted by both the United States and Afghanistan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an instrument is signed or formally adopted by that time, but the complete text has not been released within 28 days of adoption, official and definitive announcements from the United States and Afghanistan regarding the text, or a consensus of major news agencies of record, may be used to determine whether the instrument qualifies. If, on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the text of such an instrument has not been released and genuine material ambiguity remains as to whether it satisfies this market’s requirements, settlement may be postponed to allow for 28 calendar days after the date of adoption to pass pending release of the text. Once a diplomatic instrument has been signed or formally adopted without signature by both the United States and Afghanistan and confirmed to satisfy the requirements of a qualifying written diplomatic instrument, this market’s condition is met, regardless of whether the instrument later enters into force, is ratified, receives legislative or treaty consent, or is subsequently repudiated, withdrawn from, or not implemented by the United States or Afghanistan. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States and Afghanistan and the officially released text of an instrument; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 12¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? » est « Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? » à 12%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Accord minier Trump x Taliban signé en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.