Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s easy June 2026 primary win and the district’s long-standing partisan lean drive the strong trader consensus behind a Democratic victory. The seat covers areas with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by its partisan voting index and Clyburn’s established position since 1993. Republican nominee John Peterson faces structural barriers typical of the district. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$29,732 Vol.
$29,732 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$29,732 Vol.
$29,732 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s easy June 2026 primary win and the district’s long-standing partisan lean drive the strong trader consensus behind a Democratic victory. The seat covers areas with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by its partisan voting index and Clyburn’s established position since 1993. Republican nominee John Peterson faces structural barriers typical of the district. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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