Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec remain tightly clustered behind in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens. This fragmentation sustains elevated implied probabilities for third place among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as small shifts in regional support or turnout can reorder their finish. The CAQ has shown volatility under new leader Christine Fréchette, with some surveys recording declines while others show rebound potential; the PLQ has posted modest gains in Montreal-area ridings; and the PCQ continues to post record support in parts of Quebec City. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning could further separate these contenders before official results are certified.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPLQ 41%
CAQ 37%
PCQ 10.9%
PQ 3.1%
$13,415 Vol.
$13,415 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
41%
CAQ
34%
PCQ
11%
PQ
6%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 41%
CAQ 37%
PCQ 10.9%
PQ 3.1%
$13,415 Vol.
$13,415 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
$3,890 Vol.
41%
CAQ
$4,109 Vol.
34%
PCQ
$2,272 Vol.
11%
PQ
$1,363 Vol.
6%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PVQ
$632 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec remain tightly clustered behind in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens. This fragmentation sustains elevated implied probabilities for third place among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as small shifts in regional support or turnout can reorder their finish. The CAQ has shown volatility under new leader Christine Fréchette, with some surveys recording declines while others show rebound potential; the PLQ has posted modest gains in Montreal-area ridings; and the PCQ continues to post record support in parts of Quebec City. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning could further separate these contenders before official results are certified.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,415Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec remain tightly clustered behind in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens. This fragmentation sustains elevated implied probabilities for third place among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as small shifts in regional support or turnout can reorder their finish. The CAQ has shown volatility under new leader Christine Fréchette, with some surveys recording declines while others show rebound potential; the PLQ has posted modest gains in Montreal-area ridings; and the PCQ continues to post record support in parts of Quebec City. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning could further separate these contenders before official results are certified.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$13,415Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec remain tightly clustered behind in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens. This fragmentation sustains elevated implied probabilities for third place among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as small shifts in regional support or turnout can reorder their finish. The CAQ has shown volatility under new leader Christine Fréchette, with some surveys recording declines while others show rebound potential; the PLQ has posted modest gains in Montreal-area ridings; and the PCQ continues to post record support in parts of Quebec City. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning could further separate these contenders before official results are certified.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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