Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 38%
The Debut 15.0%
Digger 13%
Obsession 11%
$29,773 Vol.
$29,773 Vol.
14 mars 2027
Wild Horse Nine
38%
The Debut
20%
Digger
13%
Obsession
11%
The Invite
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Drama
3%
Josephine
2%
Club Kid
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Fatherland
1%
Elsinore
1%
The Black Ball
1%
Fjord
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 38%
The Debut 15.0%
Digger 13%
Obsession 11%
$29,773 Vol.
$29,773 Vol.
14 mars 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$23,717 Vol.
38%
The Debut
$1,034 Vol.
20%
Digger
$2,096 Vol.
13%
Obsession
$454 Vol.
11%
The Invite
$59 Vol.
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Vol.
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$69 Vol.
3%
The Drama
$39 Vol.
3%
Josephine
$59 Vol.
2%
Club Kid
$43 Vol.
1%
A Place in Hell
$69 Vol.
1%
The Odyssey
$69 Vol.
1%
Fatherland
$40 Vol.
1%
Elsinore
$40 Vol.
1%
The Black Ball
$107 Vol.
1%
Fjord
$1,690 Vol.
1%
Forgotten Island
$79 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$29,773Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,773Date de fin
14 mars 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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