Israeli military operations in the 2026 Lebanon war remain concentrated in southern Lebanon and border security zones, with ground advances and strikes focused on Hezbollah strongholds south of the Litani River rather than northward toward Beirut. A U.S.-brokered framework has produced limited withdrawals and Lebanese Army deployments in pilot zones since late July, though incidents of Israeli fire near those positions have raised tensions. Earlier strikes hit Beirut's southern suburbs, but no verified advances into the capital itself have occurred amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and ceasefire talks. These developments shape trader views on timelines for any potential entry into Beirut proper.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
$136,536 Vol.

31 juillet
<1%

31 août
3%
$136,536 Vol.

31 juillet
<1%

31 août
3%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in the 2026 Lebanon war remain concentrated in southern Lebanon and border security zones, with ground advances and strikes focused on Hezbollah strongholds south of the Litani River rather than northward toward Beirut. A U.S.-brokered framework has produced limited withdrawals and Lebanese Army deployments in pilot zones since late July, though incidents of Israeli fire near those positions have raised tensions. Earlier strikes hit Beirut's southern suburbs, but no verified advances into the capital itself have occurred amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and ceasefire talks. These developments shape trader views on timelines for any potential entry into Beirut proper.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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