Recent model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services points to a maximum of 25–26 °C in Warsaw on 7 August, driven by a weak north-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Forecast spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture; clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the range, while increased convective activity or thicker stratiform cloud would cap readings nearer 25 °C. Historical August maxima average 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but within normal variability. The market’s tight 25 °C versus 26 °C split reflects ongoing uncertainty in the final 24-hour model updates and surface observations expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 7 août ?
25°C 41%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
41%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
22°C or below
$610 Vol.
1%
23°C
$101 Vol.
2%
24°C
$725 Vol.
9%
25°C
$340 Vol.
41%
26°C
$533 Vol.
37%
27°C
$1,143 Vol.
13%
28°C
$351 Vol.
2%
29°C
$147 Vol.
1%
30°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services points to a maximum of 25–26 °C in Warsaw on 7 August, driven by a weak north-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Forecast spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture; clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the range, while increased convective activity or thicker stratiform cloud would cap readings nearer 25 °C. Historical August maxima average 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but within normal variability. The market’s tight 25 °C versus 26 °C split reflects ongoing uncertainty in the final 24-hour model updates and surface observations expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,525Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services points to a maximum of 25–26 °C in Warsaw on 7 August, driven by a weak north-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Forecast spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture; clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the range, while increased convective activity or thicker stratiform cloud would cap readings nearer 25 °C. Historical August maxima average 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but within normal variability. The market’s tight 25 °C versus 26 °C split reflects ongoing uncertainty in the final 24-hour model updates and surface observations expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,525Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services points to a maximum of 25–26 °C in Warsaw on 7 August, driven by a weak north-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Forecast spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture; clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the range, while increased convective activity or thicker stratiform cloud would cap readings nearer 25 °C. Historical August maxima average 23–25 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but within normal variability. The market’s tight 25 °C versus 26 °C split reflects ongoing uncertainty in the final 24-hour model updates and surface observations expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes