Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 29 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 29 juillet ?
29°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 18%
30°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 18%
30°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 juil. 2026
25°C ou moins
$749 Vol.
1%
26°C
$279 Vol.
3%
27°C
$996 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,709 Vol.
23%
29°C
$318 Vol.
24%
30°C
$205 Vol.
16%
31°C
$236 Vol.
11%
32°C
$98 Vol.
4%
33°C
$84 Vol.
1%
34°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$101 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,327Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,327Date de fin
29 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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