Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a high probability of maximum temperatures reaching 28–31°C in Jinan on August 11, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions in Shandong province with limited cloud cover and southerly flow. This consensus underpins the dominant 76.5% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher, while residual uncertainty from potential thundershowers or model variations supports smaller probabilities for 25°C or below. Historical August baselines in the region show frequent highs above 30°C, though cooling trends can emerge mid-month. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 11 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 11 août ?
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 13%
25°C 13%
20°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 13%
25°C 13%
20°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
16°C or below
$1 Vol.
1%
17°C
$41 Vol.
1%
18°C
$41 Vol.
1%
19°C
$71 Vol.
1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
7%
21°C
$12 Vol.
6%
22°C
$50 Vol.
6%
23°C
$12 Vol.
7%
24°C
$30 Vol.
13%
25°C
$101 Vol.
13%
26°C or higher
$430 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a high probability of maximum temperatures reaching 28–31°C in Jinan on August 11, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions in Shandong province with limited cloud cover and southerly flow. This consensus underpins the dominant 76.5% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher, while residual uncertainty from potential thundershowers or model variations supports smaller probabilities for 25°C or below. Historical August baselines in the region show frequent highs above 30°C, though cooling trends can emerge mid-month. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$840Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a high probability of maximum temperatures reaching 28–31°C in Jinan on August 11, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions in Shandong province with limited cloud cover and southerly flow. This consensus underpins the dominant 76.5% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher, while residual uncertainty from potential thundershowers or model variations supports smaller probabilities for 25°C or below. Historical August baselines in the region show frequent highs above 30°C, though cooling trends can emerge mid-month. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$840Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a high probability of maximum temperatures reaching 28–31°C in Jinan on August 11, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions in Shandong province with limited cloud cover and southerly flow. This consensus underpins the dominant 76.5% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher, while residual uncertainty from potential thundershowers or model variations supports smaller probabilities for 25°C or below. Historical August baselines in the region show frequent highs above 30°C, though cooling trends can emerge mid-month. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes