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icon for La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ?

28°C 40%

29°C 25%

27°C 24%

30°C 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$22,986 Vol.

28°C 40%

29°C 25%

27°C 24%

30°C 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$22,986 Vol.

25°C ou moins

$4,594 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$3,279 Vol.

5%

27°C

$2,140 Vol.

24%

28°C

$5,046 Vol.

40%

29°C

$1,561 Vol.

25%

30°C

$2,374 Vol.

9%

31°C

$1,540 Vol.

2%

32°C

$1,003 Vol.

1%

33°C

$863 Vol.

<1%

34°C

$245 Vol.

<1%

35°C ou plus

$371 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 26–29°C for July 29 under mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms expected from an active southwesterly monsoon flow. This setup, combined with 80–95% rain probability, favors convective cloud cover that caps daytime heating and keeps the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Traders weigh these short-term dynamics against Hong Kong’s long-term warming trend and the July–September outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, producing near-even odds between 28°C and 29°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and localized thunderstorm timing will determine whether brief clear spells allow a modest rise or persistent moisture holds readings at or below 28°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,986
Date de fin
29 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 26–29°C for July 29 under mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms expected from an active southwesterly monsoon flow. This setup, combined with 80–95% rain probability, favors convective cloud cover that caps daytime heating and keeps the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Traders weigh these short-term dynamics against Hong Kong’s long-term warming trend and the July–September outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, producing near-even odds between 28°C and 29°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and localized thunderstorm timing will determine whether brief clear spells allow a modest rise or persistent moisture holds readings at or below 28°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,986
Date de fin
29 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 28°C » à 40%, suivi de « 29°C » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ? » a généré $23K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ? » est « 28°C » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 29°C » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 29 juillet ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.