US military strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and other military infrastructure on Greater Tunb as part of operations to reduce threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes during the broader US-Iran conflict. Iran has administered the island since its 1971 seizure and continues to do so, rejecting UAE sovereignty claims and related GCC statements. The island hosts IRGC naval and missile assets that extend Iran’s reach over key maritime routes, though strikes degraded some capabilities without altering de facto control. Diplomatic efforts remain stalled, with the UAE pursuing bilateral talks or ICJ referral while Iran cites historical title and territorial integrity. Any shift in control would require major escalation or negotiated settlement within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'île du Grand Tunb n'est plus sous contrôle iranien par… ?
L'île du Grand Tunb n'est plus sous contrôle iranien par… ?
$52,985 Vol.
31 août 2026
31 août
<1%
$52,985 Vol.
31 août
$30,476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and other military infrastructure on Greater Tunb as part of operations to reduce threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes during the broader US-Iran conflict. Iran has administered the island since its 1971 seizure and continues to do so, rejecting UAE sovereignty claims and related GCC statements. The island hosts IRGC naval and missile assets that extend Iran’s reach over key maritime routes, though strikes degraded some capabilities without altering de facto control. Diplomatic efforts remain stalled, with the UAE pursuing bilateral talks or ICJ referral while Iran cites historical title and territorial integrity. Any shift in control would require major escalation or negotiated settlement within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
Volume
$52,985Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and other military infrastructure on Greater Tunb as part of operations to reduce threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes during the broader US-Iran conflict. Iran has administered the island since its 1971 seizure and continues to do so, rejecting UAE sovereignty claims and related GCC statements. The island hosts IRGC naval and missile assets that extend Iran’s reach over key maritime routes, though strikes degraded some capabilities without altering de facto control. Diplomatic efforts remain stalled, with the UAE pursuing bilateral talks or ICJ referral while Iran cites historical title and territorial integrity. Any shift in control would require major escalation or negotiated settlement within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,985Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and other military infrastructure on Greater Tunb as part of operations to reduce threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes during the broader US-Iran conflict. Iran has administered the island since its 1971 seizure and continues to do so, rejecting UAE sovereignty claims and related GCC statements. The island hosts IRGC naval and missile assets that extend Iran’s reach over key maritime routes, though strikes degraded some capabilities without altering de facto control. Diplomatic efforts remain stalled, with the UAE pursuing bilateral talks or ICJ referral while Iran cites historical title and territorial integrity. Any shift in control would require major escalation or negotiated settlement within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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