Jean Smart’s 92% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series reflects her undefeated four-win streak in the category for Hacks and the series’ fifth and final season, which earned a record 24 Emmy nominations. Academy voters have consistently rewarded her portrayal of Deborah Vance, and the show’s conclusion aligns with historical patterns of honoring long-running comedy leads on their final bow. Lisa Kudrow’s return in The Comeback and strong supporting turns from Quinta Brunson, Ayo Edebiri, and Elle Fanning create some competition, but none have matched Smart’s recent dominance. An upset would require significant voter fatigue or a late surge for another nominee ahead of final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Meilleure actrice principale dans une série comique
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 92.0%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.9%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.7%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 1.6%
$38,283 Vol.
$38,283 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
92%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
1%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 92.0%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.9%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.7%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 1.6%
$38,283 Vol.
$38,283 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
92%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s 92% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series reflects her undefeated four-win streak in the category for Hacks and the series’ fifth and final season, which earned a record 24 Emmy nominations. Academy voters have consistently rewarded her portrayal of Deborah Vance, and the show’s conclusion aligns with historical patterns of honoring long-running comedy leads on their final bow. Lisa Kudrow’s return in The Comeback and strong supporting turns from Quinta Brunson, Ayo Edebiri, and Elle Fanning create some competition, but none have matched Smart’s recent dominance. An upset would require significant voter fatigue or a late surge for another nominee ahead of final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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