Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 52%
<40 32%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$215,318 Vol.
$215,318 Vol.
24 août 2026
<40
32%
40-64
52%
65-89
17%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
<40 32%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$215,318 Vol.
$215,318 Vol.
24 août 2026
<40
$30,772 Vol.
32%
40-64
$24,027 Vol.
52%
65-89
$17,905 Vol.
17%
90-114
$29,416 Vol.
2%
115-139
$41,474 Vol.
1%
140-164
$16,522 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$28,187 Vol.
1%
190-214
$14,520 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$8,044 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$215,318Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$215,318Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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