Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 49%
65-89 24%
Moins de 40 17%
90-114 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
Moins de 40
17%
40-64
49%
65-89
24%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 24%
Moins de 40 17%
90-114 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
Moins de 40
$17 Vol.
17%
40-64
$52 Vol.
49%
65-89
$1,037 Vol.
24%
90-114
$50 Vol.
7%
115-139
$60 Vol.
2%
140-164
$562 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$577 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$109 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$106 Vol.
<1%
240+
$187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,756Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,756Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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