The Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3 percent—the second consecutive hike—anchors trader expectations for an October pause, with market-implied odds favoring no change at 76 percent. Persistent core inflation at 2.6 percent in July, above the 2 percent target, and a 2026 CPI forecast of 2.7 percent justify the tightening, while the BOK's upgraded 3.3 percent GDP outlook reflects robust semiconductor exports tied to AI demand. Governor Shin's dot plot median of 3.25 percent signals room for gradual further increases, yet officials emphasized assessing the effects of recent moves before the next decision. Analysts anticipate a data-dependent hold in October ahead of potential November action, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to immediate cuts or larger hikes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAucun changement 75%
Hausse de 25 pdb 22%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus 4.8%
Baisse de 25 points de base 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 oct. 2026
Baisse de 50 points de base ou plus
<1%
Baisse de 25 points de base
4%
Aucun changement
75%
Hausse de 25 pdb
22%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus
5%
Aucun changement 75%
Hausse de 25 pdb 22%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus 4.8%
Baisse de 25 points de base 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 oct. 2026
Baisse de 50 points de base ou plus
$128 Vol.
<1%
Baisse de 25 points de base
$278 Vol.
4%
Aucun changement
$5,373 Vol.
75%
Hausse de 25 pdb
$1,224 Vol.
22%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus
$219 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3 percent—the second consecutive hike—anchors trader expectations for an October pause, with market-implied odds favoring no change at 76 percent. Persistent core inflation at 2.6 percent in July, above the 2 percent target, and a 2026 CPI forecast of 2.7 percent justify the tightening, while the BOK's upgraded 3.3 percent GDP outlook reflects robust semiconductor exports tied to AI demand. Governor Shin's dot plot median of 3.25 percent signals room for gradual further increases, yet officials emphasized assessing the effects of recent moves before the next decision. Analysts anticipate a data-dependent hold in October ahead of potential November action, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to immediate cuts or larger hikes.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$7,222Date de fin
22 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3 percent—the second consecutive hike—anchors trader expectations for an October pause, with market-implied odds favoring no change at 76 percent. Persistent core inflation at 2.6 percent in July, above the 2 percent target, and a 2026 CPI forecast of 2.7 percent justify the tightening, while the BOK's upgraded 3.3 percent GDP outlook reflects robust semiconductor exports tied to AI demand. Governor Shin's dot plot median of 3.25 percent signals room for gradual further increases, yet officials emphasized assessing the effects of recent moves before the next decision. Analysts anticipate a data-dependent hold in October ahead of potential November action, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to immediate cuts or larger hikes.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$7,222Date de fin
22 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3 percent—the second consecutive hike—anchors trader expectations for an October pause, with market-implied odds favoring no change at 76 percent. Persistent core inflation at 2.6 percent in July, above the 2 percent target, and a 2026 CPI forecast of 2.7 percent justify the tightening, while the BOK's upgraded 3.3 percent GDP outlook reflects robust semiconductor exports tied to AI demand. Governor Shin's dot plot median of 3.25 percent signals room for gradual further increases, yet officials emphasized assessing the effects of recent moves before the next decision. Analysts anticipate a data-dependent hold in October ahead of potential November action, consistent with the low probabilities assigned to immediate cuts or larger hikes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes