Arizona’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primaries, where former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination and Elizabeth Lee advanced as the Democratic nominee for the November 3 general election. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, sits in an East Valley district with a partisan lean favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. Lamb’s primary victory, backed by high name recognition and key endorsements, reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Historical election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent partisan voting patterns underpin the 90.5% Republican probability. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, sharp national political shifts, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$34,013 Vol.
$34,013 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$34,013 Vol.
$34,013 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$18,620 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$15,393 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primaries, where former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination and Elizabeth Lee advanced as the Democratic nominee for the November 3 general election. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, sits in an East Valley district with a partisan lean favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. Lamb’s primary victory, backed by high name recognition and key endorsements, reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Historical election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent partisan voting patterns underpin the 90.5% Republican probability. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, sharp national political shifts, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$34,013Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primaries, where former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination and Elizabeth Lee advanced as the Democratic nominee for the November 3 general election. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, sits in an East Valley district with a partisan lean favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. Lamb’s primary victory, backed by high name recognition and key endorsements, reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Historical election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent partisan voting patterns underpin the 90.5% Republican probability. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, sharp national political shifts, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,013Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primaries, where former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the GOP nomination and Elizabeth Lee advanced as the Democratic nominee for the November 3 general election. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, sits in an East Valley district with a partisan lean favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. Lamb’s primary victory, backed by high name recognition and key endorsements, reinforced trader expectations of continued GOP control. Historical election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent partisan voting patterns underpin the 90.5% Republican probability. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, sharp national political shifts, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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