Recent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman indicates Apple has placed its lighter, cheaper Vision Pro successor on hold, pushing any true second-generation mixed-reality headset to late 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. This aligns with the original model's 2024 launch and the 2025 M5-chip refresh, which focused on iterative hardware tweaks rather than a full redesign. Slow sales, high pricing, and the need for cheaper components and improved ergonomics have stalled aggressive timelines, supporting traders' strong consensus against a pre-2027 release. A surprise acceleration driven by new display breakthroughs or competitive pressure from Meta could still shift sentiment, though supply-chain and development realities make that unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman indicates Apple has placed its lighter, cheaper Vision Pro successor on hold, pushing any true second-generation mixed-reality headset to late 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. This aligns with the original model's 2024 launch and the 2025 M5-chip refresh, which focused on iterative hardware tweaks rather than a full redesign. Slow sales, high pricing, and the need for cheaper components and improved ergonomics have stalled aggressive timelines, supporting traders' strong consensus against a pre-2027 release. A surprise acceleration driven by new display breakthroughs or competitive pressure from Meta could still shift sentiment, though supply-chain and development realities make that unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$5,821Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman indicates Apple has placed its lighter, cheaper Vision Pro successor on hold, pushing any true second-generation mixed-reality headset to late 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. This aligns with the original model's 2024 launch and the 2025 M5-chip refresh, which focused on iterative hardware tweaks rather than a full redesign. Slow sales, high pricing, and the need for cheaper components and improved ergonomics have stalled aggressive timelines, supporting traders' strong consensus against a pre-2027 release. A surprise acceleration driven by new display breakthroughs or competitive pressure from Meta could still shift sentiment, though supply-chain and development realities make that unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,821Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman indicates Apple has placed its lighter, cheaper Vision Pro successor on hold, pushing any true second-generation mixed-reality headset to late 2028 or 2029 at the earliest. This aligns with the original model's 2024 launch and the 2025 M5-chip refresh, which focused on iterative hardware tweaks rather than a full redesign. Slow sales, high pricing, and the need for cheaper components and improved ergonomics have stalled aggressive timelines, supporting traders' strong consensus against a pre-2027 release. A surprise acceleration driven by new display breakthroughs or competitive pressure from Meta could still shift sentiment, though supply-chain and development realities make that unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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