Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open men’s title, reflecting his dominant 2026 season (44-3 record) that includes a Wimbledon crown and multiple Masters titles on hard courts, despite withdrawing from the Canadian and Cincinnati Opens with a knee issue to prioritize recovery for the Flushing Meadows hard-court swing. Alexander Zverev sits at 15% following his French Open victory and consistent clay-to-hard transition results, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz holds 12.5% amid wrist-injury management. Novak Djokovic at 6.3% and younger contenders like Ben Shelton (5.3%) and Taylor Fritz (4.2%) factor in recent form, home-surface advantages, and historical major performances, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in preparation time before the August 30 start.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJannik Sinner 44%
Alexander Zverev 15.0%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Novak Djokovic 6.5%
$6,897,011 Vol.
$6,897,011 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
44%
Alexander Zverev
15%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 44%
Alexander Zverev 15.0%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Novak Djokovic 6.5%
$6,897,011 Vol.
$6,897,011 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
44%
Alexander Zverev
15%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open men’s title, reflecting his dominant 2026 season (44-3 record) that includes a Wimbledon crown and multiple Masters titles on hard courts, despite withdrawing from the Canadian and Cincinnati Opens with a knee issue to prioritize recovery for the Flushing Meadows hard-court swing. Alexander Zverev sits at 15% following his French Open victory and consistent clay-to-hard transition results, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz holds 12.5% amid wrist-injury management. Novak Djokovic at 6.3% and younger contenders like Ben Shelton (5.3%) and Taylor Fritz (4.2%) factor in recent form, home-surface advantages, and historical major performances, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in preparation time before the August 30 start.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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