Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market as the ATP world No. 1 with a dominant 44-3 record this season, multiple Masters 1000 titles, and strong hard-court results that align with Flushing Meadows conditions. Traders price his edge highest despite a recent right-knee withdrawal from Cincinnati that raises minor fitness questions heading into the final major. Alexander Zverev sits second on the back of consistent results, prior major final appearances, and a strong clay-court peak earlier in the year. Carlos Alcaraz holds the next share but faces reduced probability from a right-wrist injury that has limited match play since April, creating uncertainty around his defending-champion form and hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic draws support from veteran experience and top-five ranking stability, while emerging players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz receive smaller allocations amid questions over depth against the established top tier. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities incorporates recent ranking points, injury timelines, and surface-specific trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJannik Sinner 42%
Alexander Zverev 15.4%
Carlos Alcaraz 14%
Novak Djokovic 7.5%
$7,056,064 Vol.
$7,056,064 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
42%
Alexander Zverev
15%
Carlos Alcaraz
14%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Ben Shelton
6%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 42%
Alexander Zverev 15.4%
Carlos Alcaraz 14%
Novak Djokovic 7.5%
$7,056,064 Vol.
$7,056,064 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
42%
Alexander Zverev
15%
Carlos Alcaraz
14%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Ben Shelton
6%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market as the ATP world No. 1 with a dominant 44-3 record this season, multiple Masters 1000 titles, and strong hard-court results that align with Flushing Meadows conditions. Traders price his edge highest despite a recent right-knee withdrawal from Cincinnati that raises minor fitness questions heading into the final major. Alexander Zverev sits second on the back of consistent results, prior major final appearances, and a strong clay-court peak earlier in the year. Carlos Alcaraz holds the next share but faces reduced probability from a right-wrist injury that has limited match play since April, creating uncertainty around his defending-champion form and hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic draws support from veteran experience and top-five ranking stability, while emerging players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz receive smaller allocations amid questions over depth against the established top tier. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities incorporates recent ranking points, injury timelines, and surface-specific trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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