Kimi Antonelli's commanding points lead in the 2026 Drivers' Championship, with 219 points after 11 rounds and six victories, drives the strong trader consensus reflected in his 74.6% implied probability. The Mercedes driver has combined pole positions, race wins, and consistent podium finishes to build a substantial gap over Lewis Hamilton in second. Hamilton's 169 points at Ferrari and George Russell's 160 with the sister Mercedes team keep them as the next most likely outcomes per market pricing, though both trail significantly. Recent form shows Antonelli adapting effectively to the new regulations, while mid-pack performers like Lando Norris and Max Verstappen remain long shots at single-digit percentages due to lower tallies and fewer wins. The gap has widened without major disruptions in the latest events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKimi Antonelli 74.6%
Lewis Hamilton 10.2%
George Russell 6%
Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$201,061,995 Vol.
$201,061,995 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 74.6%
Lewis Hamilton 10.2%
George Russell 6%
Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$201,061,995 Vol.
$201,061,995 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's commanding points lead in the 2026 Drivers' Championship, with 219 points after 11 rounds and six victories, drives the strong trader consensus reflected in his 74.6% implied probability. The Mercedes driver has combined pole positions, race wins, and consistent podium finishes to build a substantial gap over Lewis Hamilton in second. Hamilton's 169 points at Ferrari and George Russell's 160 with the sister Mercedes team keep them as the next most likely outcomes per market pricing, though both trail significantly. Recent form shows Antonelli adapting effectively to the new regulations, while mid-pack performers like Lando Norris and Max Verstappen remain long shots at single-digit percentages due to lower tallies and fewer wins. The gap has widened without major disruptions in the latest events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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