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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation

icon for World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation

Uzbekistan 20%

Saudi Arabia 6.8%

Iran 4.5%

Iraq 0

Polymarket
NEW

Uzbekistan 20%

Saudi Arabia 6.8%

Iran 4.5%

Iraq 0

Polymarket
NEW

Iran

$225 Vol.

4%

Iraq

$474 Vol.

40%

Jordan

$596 Vol.

39%

Qatar

$1,187 Vol.

38%

Saudi Arabia

$278 Vol.

7%

Uzbekistan

$391 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq, Jordan, and Uzbekistan lead trader sentiment for worst-placed AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup primarily due to their challenging group-stage draws against elite European and South American sides. Iraq faces France, Senegal, and Norway in Group I, while Jordan meets Argentina, Algeria, and Austria in Group J, and Uzbekistan confronts Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo in Group K—matchups that historically favor heavy favorites in opening rounds. In contrast, higher-probability outcomes like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Iran sit in groups with marginally better paths despite tough opposition from Spain, Switzerland, and Belgium, respectively. Japan, South Korea, and Australia benefit from stronger recent form, deeper squads, and comparatively navigable sections featuring teams like the Netherlands or Mexico. The 50% "Other" share reflects uncertainty over final qualification details and potential surprises from additional AFC entrants amid the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,489
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq, Jordan, and Uzbekistan lead trader sentiment for worst-placed AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup primarily due to their challenging group-stage draws against elite European and South American sides. Iraq faces France, Senegal, and Norway in Group I, while Jordan meets Argentina, Algeria, and Austria in Group J, and Uzbekistan confronts Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo in Group K—matchups that historically favor heavy favorites in opening rounds. In contrast, higher-probability outcomes like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Iran sit in groups with marginally better paths despite tough opposition from Spain, Switzerland, and Belgium, respectively. Japan, South Korea, and Australia benefit from stronger recent form, deeper squads, and comparatively navigable sections featuring teams like the Netherlands or Mexico. The 50% "Other" share reflects uncertainty over final qualification details and potential surprises from additional AFC entrants amid the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,489
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iraq" at 40%, followed by "Jordan" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation" is "Iraq" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jordan" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.