Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.0%
$64,798 Vol.
$64,798 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
16%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
7%
$636K - $663K
31%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
2%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.0%
$64,798 Vol.
$64,798 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
$1,096 Vol.
16%
$555K - $582K
$2,516 Vol.
3%
$582K - $609K
$1,036 Vol.
1%
$609K - $636K
$8,914 Vol.
7%
$636K - $663K
$33,899 Vol.
31%
$663K - $689K
$9,103 Vol.
46%
$689K+
$8,254 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$64,798End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$64,798End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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