**Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the implied probabilities at 21.5% and 18.6% respectively for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, reflecting their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 11-round 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com.** Recent off-season results show a wide distribution of winners—Hans Niemann took the September 1 event, Jan-Krzysztof Duda won August 25, and others including Alireza Firouzja, Arjun Erigaisi, Aleksei Sarana, and Denis Lazavik have claimed victories in the preceding months amid fields of 400–500+ titled players. The bunched probabilities below the top two stem from the event’s high variance: a deep pool of elite blitz specialists, Swiss pairing that rewards hot streaks over consistent favorites, and the fast time control that amplifies tactical swings and form fluctuations. Participation by top seeds, recent momentum, and tiebreak resilience further compress the field, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHikaru Nakamura 36%
Magnus Carlsen 18.6%
Aleksei Sarana 13%
Sina Movahed 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
22%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Aleksei Sarana
13%
Sina Movahed
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Wesley So
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Christopher Yoo
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Le Tuan Minh
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
3%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
3%
Rudik Makarian
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Benjamin Bok
3%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
3%
Nihal Sarin
3%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
3%
Dmitry Andreikin
3%
Haowen Xue
3%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Sam Sevian
2%
Awonder Liang
2%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
Jules Moussard
2%
Parham Maghsoodloo
2%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Pranesh Munirethinam
2%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
Renato Terry Lujan
2%
Dincer Tasdogen
2%
Rasmus Svane
2%
Nikolas Theodorou
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Volen Dyulgerov
2%
Faustino Oro
2%
David Anton
2%
Sergey Sklokin
1%
Hikaru Nakamura 36%
Magnus Carlsen 18.6%
Aleksei Sarana 13%
Sina Movahed 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
22%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Aleksei Sarana
13%
Sina Movahed
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Wesley So
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Christopher Yoo
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Le Tuan Minh
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
3%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
3%
Rudik Makarian
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Benjamin Bok
3%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
3%
Nihal Sarin
3%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
3%
Dmitry Andreikin
3%
Haowen Xue
3%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Sam Sevian
2%
Awonder Liang
2%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
Jules Moussard
2%
Parham Maghsoodloo
2%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Pranesh Munirethinam
2%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
Renato Terry Lujan
2%
Dincer Tasdogen
2%
Rasmus Svane
2%
Nikolas Theodorou
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Volen Dyulgerov
2%
Faustino Oro
2%
David Anton
2%
Sergey Sklokin
1%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the implied probabilities at 21.5% and 18.6% respectively for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, reflecting their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 11-round 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com.** Recent off-season results show a wide distribution of winners—Hans Niemann took the September 1 event, Jan-Krzysztof Duda won August 25, and others including Alireza Firouzja, Arjun Erigaisi, Aleksei Sarana, and Denis Lazavik have claimed victories in the preceding months amid fields of 400–500+ titled players. The bunched probabilities below the top two stem from the event’s high variance: a deep pool of elite blitz specialists, Swiss pairing that rewards hot streaks over consistent favorites, and the fast time control that amplifies tactical swings and form fluctuations. Participation by top seeds, recent momentum, and tiebreak resilience further compress the field, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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