Hikaru Nakamura's unmatched record of Titled Tuesday victories, exceeding 90 since 2020, anchors trader expectations for strong showings in the August 4 edition, alongside Magnus Carlsen's consistent top finishes. Recent July results highlight volatility among elites, with Alireza Firouzja claiming the July 28 event at 9.5/11, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave winning July 21, and Parham Maghsoodloo topping July 14. Alexey Sarana's rising form and high ratings position him as a frequent contender. The 11-round Swiss format rewards sustained performance across a deep field of GMs, where participation rates, recent blitz ratings, and head-to-head trends in speed chess heavily influence implied probabilities for top-five placements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHikaru Nakamura
51%
David Anton
50%
Faustino Oro
50%
Jules Moussard
50%
Gukesh Dommaraju
50%
Tuomas Turunen
50%
Christopher Yoo
50%
Ding Liren
50%
Jeffery Xiong
50%
Levon Aronian
50%
Nihal Sarin
50%
Parham Maghsoodloo
50%
Pranav Venkatesh
50%
Renato Terry Lujan
50%
Aleksandr Shimanov
50%
Benjamin Bok
50%
Frederik Svane
50%
Haik Martirosyan
50%
Sam Sevian
50%
Sergey Sklokin
50%
Volen Dyulgerov
50%
Wei Yi
50%
Brandon Jacobson
50%
Vladimir Fedoseev
50%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
50%
Aleksei Sarana
50%
Arjun Erigaisi
50%
Denis Lazavik
50%
Andrey Esipenko
50%
Jose Martinez
50%
Le Tuan Minh
50%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
50%
Matthias Bluebaum
50%
Haowen Xue
50%
Awonder Liang
50%
Andrew Tang
50%
Aleksandar Indjic
49%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
49%
Hans Niemann
49%
Sina Movahed
49%
Aravindh Chithambaram
49%
Alireza Firouzja
49%
Alexander Grischuk
49%
Bardiya Daneshvar
49%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
49%
Dau Khuong Duy
49%
Nikolas Theodorou
49%
Wesley So
49%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
49%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
49%
Javokhir Sindarov
49%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
49%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
49%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
49%
Rudik Makarian
49%
Dmitry Andreikin
49%
Fabiano Caruana
49%
Pranesh Munirethinam
49%
Rasmus Svane
49%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
49%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
49%
Vladislav Artemiev
49%
Vincent Keymer
49%
Dincer Tasdogen
48%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
48%
Magnus Carlsen
35%
$0.00 Vol.
Hikaru Nakamura
51%
David Anton
50%
Faustino Oro
50%
Jules Moussard
50%
Gukesh Dommaraju
50%
Tuomas Turunen
50%
Christopher Yoo
50%
Ding Liren
50%
Jeffery Xiong
50%
Levon Aronian
50%
Nihal Sarin
50%
Parham Maghsoodloo
50%
Pranav Venkatesh
50%
Renato Terry Lujan
50%
Aleksandr Shimanov
50%
Benjamin Bok
50%
Frederik Svane
50%
Haik Martirosyan
50%
Sam Sevian
50%
Sergey Sklokin
50%
Volen Dyulgerov
50%
Wei Yi
50%
Brandon Jacobson
50%
Vladimir Fedoseev
50%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
50%
Aleksei Sarana
50%
Arjun Erigaisi
50%
Denis Lazavik
50%
Andrey Esipenko
50%
Jose Martinez
50%
Le Tuan Minh
50%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
50%
Matthias Bluebaum
50%
Haowen Xue
50%
Awonder Liang
50%
Andrew Tang
50%
Aleksandar Indjic
49%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
49%
Hans Niemann
49%
Sina Movahed
49%
Aravindh Chithambaram
49%
Alireza Firouzja
49%
Alexander Grischuk
49%
Bardiya Daneshvar
49%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
49%
Dau Khuong Duy
49%
Nikolas Theodorou
49%
Wesley So
49%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
49%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
49%
Javokhir Sindarov
49%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
49%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
49%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
49%
Rudik Makarian
49%
Dmitry Andreikin
49%
Fabiano Caruana
49%
Pranesh Munirethinam
49%
Rasmus Svane
49%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
49%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
49%
Vladislav Artemiev
49%
Vincent Keymer
49%
Dincer Tasdogen
48%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
48%
Magnus Carlsen
35%
If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x65070BE91...Hikaru Nakamura's unmatched record of Titled Tuesday victories, exceeding 90 since 2020, anchors trader expectations for strong showings in the August 4 edition, alongside Magnus Carlsen's consistent top finishes. Recent July results highlight volatility among elites, with Alireza Firouzja claiming the July 28 event at 9.5/11, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave winning July 21, and Parham Maghsoodloo topping July 14. Alexey Sarana's rising form and high ratings position him as a frequent contender. The 11-round Swiss format rewards sustained performance across a deep field of GMs, where participation rates, recent blitz ratings, and head-to-head trends in speed chess heavily influence implied probabilities for top-five placements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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