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Sports·Chess

Sinquefield Cup Winner

icon for Sinquefield Cup Winner
Sports·Chess

Sinquefield Cup Winner

Fabiano Caruana 25%

Vincent Keymer 13%

Wesley So 12%

Alireza Firouzja 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Fabiano Caruana 25%

Vincent Keymer 13%

Wesley So 12%

Alireza Firouzja 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Fabiano Caruana

$2,120 Vol.

25%

Vincent Keymer

$319 Vol.

13%

Wesley So

$1,238 Vol.

12%

Alireza Firouzja

$823 Vol.

11%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$472 Vol.

11%

Javokhir Sindarov

$619 Vol.

11%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$1,040 Vol.

6%

Levon Aronian

$573 Vol.

6%

Anish Giri

$531 Vol.

6%

Jorden Van Foreest

$576 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Sinquefield Cup 2026, a nine-round classical round-robin in the Grand Chess Tour scheduled for August in St. Louis, features a deep field of elite grandmasters with closely matched ratings and recent results. Fabiano Caruana, Wesley So, Alireza Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, Javokhir Sindarov, Vincent Keymer, Anish Giri, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, Levon Aronian, and others enter with comparable credentials, including prior GCT titles, Candidates experience, and strong showings in the 2026 tour events such as Firouzja’s Croatia rapid-and-blitz victory. Home-soil familiarity for the American contingent, combined with the absence of a single standout form leader this summer and the inherent variance of classical chess among 2750-plus players, keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,312
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Sinquefield Cup 2026, a nine-round classical round-robin in the Grand Chess Tour scheduled for August in St. Louis, features a deep field of elite grandmasters with closely matched ratings and recent results. Fabiano Caruana, Wesley So, Alireza Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, Javokhir Sindarov, Vincent Keymer, Anish Giri, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, Levon Aronian, and others enter with comparable credentials, including prior GCT titles, Candidates experience, and strong showings in the 2026 tour events such as Firouzja’s Croatia rapid-and-blitz victory. Home-soil familiarity for the American contingent, combined with the absence of a single standout form leader this summer and the inherent variance of classical chess among 2750-plus players, keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,312
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sinquefield Cup Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fabiano Caruana" at 25%, followed by "Vincent Keymer" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sinquefield Cup Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sinquefield Cup Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sinquefield Cup Winner" is "Fabiano Caruana" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vincent Keymer" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sinquefield Cup Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.