**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues its strong theatrical run heading into its seventh weekend, with domestic earnings surpassing $918 million after a sixth-frame gross of $18.18 million that reflected a milder 19% drop. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed film’s 2.57 legs, consistent #1 ranking, and per-theater averages around $5,164 support solid audience retention for a late-summer tentpole, though theater count has fallen to 3,520 and typical front-loaded superhero decay is accelerating. Traders appear to weigh the improving hold against the film’s age and competition, producing the highest implied probability on sub-$9 million results while still assigning meaningful weight to the $9–11 million bands. The upcoming Labor Day-adjusted frame and any final marketing pushes remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
9-10m 42%
10-11m 42%
11-12m 26%
12m+ 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<9m
55%
9-10m
42%
10-11m
42%
11-12m
26%
12m+
21%
9-10m 42%
10-11m 42%
11-12m 26%
12m+ 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<9m
$65 Vol.
55%
9-10m
$0 Vol.
42%
10-11m
$0 Vol.
42%
11-12m
$0 Vol.
26%
12m+
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues its strong theatrical run heading into its seventh weekend, with domestic earnings surpassing $918 million after a sixth-frame gross of $18.18 million that reflected a milder 19% drop. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed film’s 2.57 legs, consistent #1 ranking, and per-theater averages around $5,164 support solid audience retention for a late-summer tentpole, though theater count has fallen to 3,520 and typical front-loaded superhero decay is accelerating. Traders appear to weigh the improving hold against the film’s age and competition, producing the highest implied probability on sub-$9 million results while still assigning meaningful weight to the $9–11 million bands. The upcoming Labor Day-adjusted frame and any final marketing pushes remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues its strong theatrical run heading into its seventh weekend, with domestic earnings surpassing $918 million after a sixth-frame gross of $18.18 million that reflected a milder 19% drop. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed film’s 2.57 legs, consistent #1 ranking, and per-theater averages around $5,164 support solid audience retention for a late-summer tentpole, though theater count has fallen to 3,520 and typical front-loaded superhero decay is accelerating. Traders appear to weigh the improving hold against the film’s age and competition, producing the highest implied probability on sub-$9 million results while still assigning meaningful weight to the $9–11 million bands. The upcoming Labor Day-adjusted frame and any final marketing pushes remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$65End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues its strong theatrical run heading into its seventh weekend, with domestic earnings surpassing $918 million after a sixth-frame gross of $18.18 million that reflected a milder 19% drop. The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed film’s 2.57 legs, consistent #1 ranking, and per-theater averages around $5,164 support solid audience retention for a late-summer tentpole, though theater count has fallen to 3,520 and typical front-loaded superhero decay is accelerating. Traders appear to weigh the improving hold against the film’s age and competition, producing the highest implied probability on sub-$9 million results while still assigning meaningful weight to the $9–11 million bands. The upcoming Labor Day-adjusted frame and any final marketing pushes remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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