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icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 32%

John Thune 15.7%

Kristi Noem 12.0%

Donald Trump 7.7%

Polymarket

$37,485 Vol.

Marco Rubio 32%

John Thune 15.7%

Kristi Noem 12.0%

Donald Trump 7.7%

Polymarket

$37,485 Vol.

Marco Rubio

$10,409 Vol.

32%

John Thune

$910 Vol.

16%

Kristi Noem

$464 Vol.

12%

Donald Trump

$791 Vol.

8%

J.D. Vance

$3,672 Vol.

8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$919 Vol.

7%

Thomas Massie

$807 Vol.

6%

Elise Stefanik

$561 Vol.

5%

Ivanka Trump

$448 Vol.

5%

Tucker Carlson

$450 Vol.

5%

Josh Hawley

$708 Vol.

5%

Tulsi Gabbard

$1,378 Vol.

5%

Rand Paul

$574 Vol.

5%

Brian Kemp

$841 Vol.

4%

Ted Cruz

$879 Vol.

4%

Nikki Haley

$1,046 Vol.

3%

Glenn Youngkin

$496 Vol.

3%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$619 Vol.

3%

Joe Kent

$635 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$498 Vol.

3%

Matt Gaetz

$596 Vol.

3%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$613 Vol.

3%

Byron Donalds

$834 Vol.

2%

Ron DeSantis

$752 Vol.

2%

Donald Trump Jr.

$1,174 Vol.

2%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,017 Vol.

2%

Eric Trump

$785 Vol.

2%

Katie Britt

$511 Vol.

2%

Pete Hegseth

$855 Vol.

1%

Erika Kirk

$759 Vol.

1%

Kim Kardashian

$420 Vol.

1%

Mike Pence

$490 Vol.

1%

Steve Bannon

$382 Vol.

1%

Greg Abbott

$612 Vol.

1%

Tom Brady

$581 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With the 2028 Republican presidential race still distant, traders view the vice presidential nominee market as highly fragmented, assigning Marco Rubio the highest implied probability at 31.5% based on his Senate seniority, foreign policy record, and cross-faction appeal. John Thune and others trail well behind, reflecting uncertainty over which figures will build the broadest coalition of delegates, donors, and primary voters. Key differentiators include Senate or gubernatorial experience, demonstrated loyalty during the prior cycle, and strength in swing-state electoral math. Consolidation behind one outcome could accelerate after 2026 midterms, early endorsements, or cabinet decisions that elevate specific profiles while sidelining others.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37,485
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With the 2028 Republican presidential race still distant, traders view the vice presidential nominee market as highly fragmented, assigning Marco Rubio the highest implied probability at 31.5% based on his Senate seniority, foreign policy record, and cross-faction appeal. John Thune and others trail well behind, reflecting uncertainty over which figures will build the broadest coalition of delegates, donors, and primary voters. Key differentiators include Senate or gubernatorial experience, demonstrated loyalty during the prior cycle, and strength in swing-state electoral math. Consolidation behind one outcome could accelerate after 2026 midterms, early endorsements, or cabinet decisions that elevate specific profiles while sidelining others.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37,485
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 32%, followed by "John Thune" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican VP Nominee 2028" has generated $37.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Marco Rubio" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Thune" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.