The 2026 NFL season opens with a wide-open race for Total QBR leader, as preseason analyst rankings and advanced models place Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, and Joe Burrow in a tight cluster near the top. Maye enters off a 2025 breakout that featured league-leading efficiency metrics and a Super Bowl run for New England, while Mahomes works back from a late-season ACL tear that contributed to Kansas City’s first playoff miss in his tenure. Allen’s dual-threat consistency and Jackson’s rushing dominance keep them in the mix, but depth across the league—including strong supporting casts for Burrow, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy—plus the inherent variance of a 17-game schedule prevents any quarterback from separating decisively in trader pricing. Early injury reports, offensive-line health, and Week 1 matchups will quickly reshape implied probabilities in this crowded field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDrake Maye 11%
Patrick Mahomes 10%
Lamar Jackson 10%
Brock Purdy 9%
Drake Maye
11%
Patrick Mahomes
10%
Lamar Jackson
10%
Brock Purdy
9%
Dak Prescott
9%
Jared Goff
8%
Josh Allen
8%
Jordan Love
8%
Matthew Stafford
7%
Joe Burrow
7%
Justin Herbert
6%
Jayden Daniels
6%
Carson Beck
4%
Fernando Mendoza
4%
Jalen Hurts
4%
Malik Willis
4%
Geno Smith
4%
Jaxson Dart
4%
JJ McCarthy
4%
Bryce Young
4%
Michael Penix Jr.
4%
Tyler Shough
4%
Sam Darnold
4%
Jacoby Brissett
4%
OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders
4%
Aaron Rodgers
4%
Shedeur Sanders
4%
Deshaun Watson
4%
Trevor Lawrence
4%
C.J. Stroud
4%
Daniel Jones
4%
Cam Ward
4%
Bo Nix
4%
Kirk Cousins
4%
Caleb Williams
4%
Kyler Murray
4%
Drake Maye 11%
Patrick Mahomes 10%
Lamar Jackson 10%
Brock Purdy 9%
Drake Maye
11%
Patrick Mahomes
10%
Lamar Jackson
10%
Brock Purdy
9%
Dak Prescott
9%
Jared Goff
8%
Josh Allen
8%
Jordan Love
8%
Matthew Stafford
7%
Joe Burrow
7%
Justin Herbert
6%
Jayden Daniels
6%
Carson Beck
4%
Fernando Mendoza
4%
Jalen Hurts
4%
Malik Willis
4%
Geno Smith
4%
Jaxson Dart
4%
JJ McCarthy
4%
Bryce Young
4%
Michael Penix Jr.
4%
Tyler Shough
4%
Sam Darnold
4%
Jacoby Brissett
4%
OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders
4%
Aaron Rodgers
4%
Shedeur Sanders
4%
Deshaun Watson
4%
Trevor Lawrence
4%
C.J. Stroud
4%
Daniel Jones
4%
Cam Ward
4%
Bo Nix
4%
Kirk Cousins
4%
Caleb Williams
4%
Kyler Murray
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL season opens with a wide-open race for Total QBR leader, as preseason analyst rankings and advanced models place Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, and Joe Burrow in a tight cluster near the top. Maye enters off a 2025 breakout that featured league-leading efficiency metrics and a Super Bowl run for New England, while Mahomes works back from a late-season ACL tear that contributed to Kansas City’s first playoff miss in his tenure. Allen’s dual-threat consistency and Jackson’s rushing dominance keep them in the mix, but depth across the league—including strong supporting casts for Burrow, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy—plus the inherent variance of a 17-game schedule prevents any quarterback from separating decisively in trader pricing. Early injury reports, offensive-line health, and Week 1 matchups will quickly reshape implied probabilities in this crowded field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions