Palantir's (PLTR) share price, recently closing near $186.29 after a post-August 3 earnings surge driven by 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and raised 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $186–$192 ranges. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% amid AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon Maven momentum approaching a $1 billion run rate, while adjusted operating margins reached 62% and net retention hit 157%. Elevated valuations near 159 times earnings, recent CEO and institutional selling, and absence of major catalysts in the final August trading days introduce uncertainty that keeps multiple adjacent bins competitively priced near 44–46% implied probability. Traders appear focused on near-term momentum sustainability versus profit-taking risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$190-$192 45%
$188-$190 43%
$192-$194 43%
$184-$186 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<$176
16%
$176-$178
6%
$178-$180
7%
$180-$182
8%
$182-$184
8%
$184-$186
42%
$186-$188
39%
$188-$190
43%
$190-$192
45%
$192-$194
43%
>$194
42%
$190-$192 45%
$188-$190 43%
$192-$194 43%
$184-$186 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<$176
$0 Vol.
16%
$176-$178
$0 Vol.
6%
$178-$180
$0 Vol.
7%
$180-$182
$0 Vol.
8%
$182-$184
$0 Vol.
8%
$184-$186
$0 Vol.
42%
$186-$188
$0 Vol.
39%
$188-$190
$0 Vol.
43%
$190-$192
$0 Vol.
45%
$192-$194
$0 Vol.
43%
>$194
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.Palantir's (PLTR) share price, recently closing near $186.29 after a post-August 3 earnings surge driven by 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and raised 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $186–$192 ranges. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% amid AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon Maven momentum approaching a $1 billion run rate, while adjusted operating margins reached 62% and net retention hit 157%. Elevated valuations near 159 times earnings, recent CEO and institutional selling, and absence of major catalysts in the final August trading days introduce uncertainty that keeps multiple adjacent bins competitively priced near 44–46% implied probability. Traders appear focused on near-term momentum sustainability versus profit-taking risks.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.Palantir's (PLTR) share price, recently closing near $186.29 after a post-August 3 earnings surge driven by 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and raised 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $186–$192 ranges. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% amid AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon Maven momentum approaching a $1 billion run rate, while adjusted operating margins reached 62% and net retention hit 157%. Elevated valuations near 159 times earnings, recent CEO and institutional selling, and absence of major catalysts in the final August trading days introduce uncertainty that keeps multiple adjacent bins competitively priced near 44–46% implied probability. Traders appear focused on near-term momentum sustainability versus profit-taking risks.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir's (PLTR) share price, recently closing near $186.29 after a post-August 3 earnings surge driven by 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and raised 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $186–$192 ranges. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% amid AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon Maven momentum approaching a $1 billion run rate, while adjusted operating margins reached 62% and net retention hit 157%. Elevated valuations near 159 times earnings, recent CEO and institutional selling, and absence of major catalysts in the final August trading days introduce uncertainty that keeps multiple adjacent bins competitively priced near 44–46% implied probability. Traders appear focused on near-term momentum sustainability versus profit-taking risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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