Skip to main content
icon for Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 65%

Alex Lawson 15.9%

Jeff Leiper 16%

Neil Saravanamuttoo 2.4%

Polymarket

$66,452 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe 65%

Alex Lawson 15.9%

Jeff Leiper 16%

Neil Saravanamuttoo 2.4%

Polymarket

$66,452 Vol.

icon for Mark Sutcliffe

Mark Sutcliffe

$29,704 Vol.

65%

icon for Alex Lawson

Alex Lawson

$16,354 Vol.

16%

icon for Jeff Leiper

Jeff Leiper

$12,729 Vol.

16%

icon for Neil Saravanamuttoo

Neil Saravanamuttoo

$4,082 Vol.

2%

icon for Catherine McKenney

Catherine McKenney

$3,581 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Mark Sutcliffe holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026, Ottawa mayoral race due to incumbency advantages, broad name recognition, and endorsements from multiple former mayors, even as his support among decided voters has declined from 46% in April to 36% in July polling. The opposition remains fragmented, with homebuilder Alex Lawson rising to 26% on platforms emphasizing housing affordability, development charge reductions, and infrastructure like a ring road, while long-serving Councillor Jeff Leiper sits near 25% as the main progressive alternative and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo holds about 11% on efficiency pledges. Recent Liaison Strategies surveys show undecided voters near 34% and persistent citywide dissatisfaction on issues such as homelessness and services, yet vote-splitting sustains Sutcliffe’s lead. Nomination filings closed August 21 with 14 total candidates, leaving little time for consolidation before advance voting begins in October. Trader consensus on the listed probabilities aligns with these structural dynamics and polling trends.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Volume
$66,452
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Mark Sutcliffe holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026, Ottawa mayoral race due to incumbency advantages, broad name recognition, and endorsements from multiple former mayors, even as his support among decided voters has declined from 46% in April to 36% in July polling. The opposition remains fragmented, with homebuilder Alex Lawson rising to 26% on platforms emphasizing housing affordability, development charge reductions, and infrastructure like a ring road, while long-serving Councillor Jeff Leiper sits near 25% as the main progressive alternative and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo holds about 11% on efficiency pledges. Recent Liaison Strategies surveys show undecided voters near 34% and persistent citywide dissatisfaction on issues such as homelessness and services, yet vote-splitting sustains Sutcliffe’s lead. Nomination filings closed August 21 with 14 total candidates, leaving little time for consolidation before advance voting begins in October. Trader consensus on the listed probabilities aligns with these structural dynamics and polling trends.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Volume
$66,452
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

Related

icon for Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

88%
icon for Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?

Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?

54%
icon for Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?

Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?

79%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Sutcliffe" at 65%, followed by "Alex Lawson" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $66.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" is "Mark Sutcliffe" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Lawson" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.