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icon for # of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

icon for # of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

Aug 15

Aug 15

75–75.5M 48%

75.5–76M 44%

74.5–75M 12%

76–76.5M 10%

Polymarket
NEW

75–75.5M 48%

75.5–76M 44%

74.5–75M 12%

76–76.5M 10%

Polymarket
NEW

<74M

$207 Vol.

<1%

74–74.5M

$15 Vol.

9%

74.5–75M

$0 Vol.

12%

75–75.5M

$0 Vol.

48%

75.5–76M

$0 Vol.

44%

76–76.5M

$272 Vol.

10%

76.5M+

$234 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s latest challenge-style upload has locked trader expectations tightly around 75–76 million first-week views because his recent releases have delivered consistent results in that narrow band. The creator’s massive subscriber base, high-production spectacle format, and cross-platform promotion generate reliable early momentum, with algorithmic boosts and loyal fan engagement producing predictable trajectories on YouTube. Historical patterns for similar competition videos reinforce this clustering, making the 75–75.5M and 75.5–76M brackets the dominant outcomes. An upset into higher or lower tiers would require exceptional virality or an unforeseen drop in resonance, both viewed as low-probability scenarios given the current data and release strategy.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$727
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s latest challenge-style upload has locked trader expectations tightly around 75–76 million first-week views because his recent releases have delivered consistent results in that narrow band. The creator’s massive subscriber base, high-production spectacle format, and cross-platform promotion generate reliable early momentum, with algorithmic boosts and loyal fan engagement producing predictable trajectories on YouTube. Historical patterns for similar competition videos reinforce this clustering, making the 75–75.5M and 75.5–76M brackets the dominant outcomes. An upset into higher or lower tiers would require exceptional virality or an unforeseen drop in resonance, both viewed as low-probability scenarios given the current data and release strategy.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$727
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "75–75.5M" at 48%, followed by "75.5–76M" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is "75–75.5M" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "75.5–76M" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.