Meta's post-earnings selloff on July 29, 2026, represents the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment for its July 31 closing price. The company reported solid 28% revenue growth to $60.8 billion, aided by AI-enhanced advertising performance, but missed EPS estimates, slashed free cash flow to $784 million amid surging infrastructure costs, and raised 2026 capex guidance to $130–145 billion. This highlights the tension between Meta's aggressive AI buildout—including the recent Muse Spark 1.1 model release and leadership additions at its Superintelligence Labs—and investor concerns over near-term returns versus peers like OpenAI and Anthropic. With no major catalysts scheduled for July 31, ongoing market digestion of these results and broader tech sentiment will likely determine the session's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,526 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
$510
Yes
$520
Yes
$530
Yes
$540
Yes
$550
Yes
$6,526 Vol.
$510
$25 Vol.
Yes
$520
$1,815 Vol.
Yes
$530
$2,730 Vol.
Yes
$540
$1,162 Vol.
Yes
$550
$795 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.Meta's post-earnings selloff on July 29, 2026, represents the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment for its July 31 closing price. The company reported solid 28% revenue growth to $60.8 billion, aided by AI-enhanced advertising performance, but missed EPS estimates, slashed free cash flow to $784 million amid surging infrastructure costs, and raised 2026 capex guidance to $130–145 billion. This highlights the tension between Meta's aggressive AI buildout—including the recent Muse Spark 1.1 model release and leadership additions at its Superintelligence Labs—and investor concerns over near-term returns versus peers like OpenAI and Anthropic. With no major catalysts scheduled for July 31, ongoing market digestion of these results and broader tech sentiment will likely determine the session's close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$6,526End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.Meta's post-earnings selloff on July 29, 2026, represents the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment for its July 31 closing price. The company reported solid 28% revenue growth to $60.8 billion, aided by AI-enhanced advertising performance, but missed EPS estimates, slashed free cash flow to $784 million amid surging infrastructure costs, and raised 2026 capex guidance to $130–145 billion. This highlights the tension between Meta's aggressive AI buildout—including the recent Muse Spark 1.1 model release and leadership additions at its Superintelligence Labs—and investor concerns over near-term returns versus peers like OpenAI and Anthropic. With no major catalysts scheduled for July 31, ongoing market digestion of these results and broader tech sentiment will likely determine the session's close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on July 31, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Volume
$6,526End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Meta's post-earnings selloff on July 29, 2026, represents the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment for its July 31 closing price. The company reported solid 28% revenue growth to $60.8 billion, aided by AI-enhanced advertising performance, but missed EPS estimates, slashed free cash flow to $784 million amid surging infrastructure costs, and raised 2026 capex guidance to $130–145 billion. This highlights the tension between Meta's aggressive AI buildout—including the recent Muse Spark 1.1 model release and leadership additions at its Superintelligence Labs—and investor concerns over near-term returns versus peers like OpenAI and Anthropic. With no major catalysts scheduled for July 31, ongoing market digestion of these results and broader tech sentiment will likely determine the session's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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