**Matthew NeSmith leads the Albertsons Boise Open winner market at 50% implied probability largely due to his proven course history at Hillcrest Country Club, where he captured the 2019 title as part of a strong stretch that earned his PGA Tour card.** The Korn Ferry Tour’s final regular-season event (August 13–16) carries extra weight for 2027 PGA Tour card positioning, and previews explicitly list NeSmith among the five past champions in the field alongside players like Kevin Tway, Michael Thompson, Will Gordon, and Chan Kim. Ben Kohles sits at 13–16% as the highest-ranked player in the field and a five-time Korn Ferry Tour winner, while Cole Hammer (16%) enters ranked near the top-20 bubble for automatic promotion. Doc Redman and Ian Holt, the top two on the current points list with multiple victories this season, also factor into trader consensus. Recent form, such as Redman’s solo fourth at the prior Pinnacle Bank Championship and solid showings from other contenders, supports the broader distribution, though no single player dominates recent results the way NeSmith’s venue-specific record does. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in these established edges on a course that has launched multiple PGA Tour careers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMatthew NeSmith 50%
Ben Kohles 12%
Caleb VanArragon 11%
Cole Hammer 9.9%
Matthew NeSmith
50%
Ben Kohles
12%
Caleb VanArragon
11%
Cole Hammer
10%
Carson Young
9%
Davis Shore
9%
Filip Jakubcik
9%
Kevin Dougherty
9%
Christian Maas
9%
Austin Hitt
9%
Nicholas Gabrelcik
9%
Brett Stegmaier
9%
David Lingmerth
9%
Hayden Buckley
9%
Jackson Buchanan
9%
Jackson Van Paris
9%
Jacob Solomon
9%
James Nicholas
9%
Jase Summy
9%
Jeremy Paul
9%
Joe Weiler
9%
Joey Herrera
9%
John Marshall Butler
9%
Jorge Fernandez Valdes
9%
Julian Suri
9%
Justin Hastings
9%
Justin Suh
9%
Alvaro Ortiz
9%
Chris Francoeur
9%
Chris Korte
9%
Braden Thornberry
9%
Chad Sewell
9%
Cristobal del Solar
9%
Derek Hitchner
9%
Frankie Capan
9%
Luke Potter
9%
Marshall Meisel
9%
Mason Andersen
9%
Matthew Riedel
9%
Maxwell Moldovan
9%
Nicolo Galletti
9%
Norman Xiong
9%
Ben Martin
9%
Brett White
9%
Bryce Lewis
9%
Kevin Tway
9%
Kyle Dougherty
9%
Logan McAllister
9%
Blaine Hale Jr.
9%
Brendon Todd
9%
Michael Feagles
7%
Doc Redman
6%
Ian Gilligan
6%
Andrew Kozan
6%
Ben Carr
6%
Alistair Docherty
6%
Luke Gutschewski
6%
Michael Thompson
5%
John Daly Jr.
5%
Chan Kim
5%
Frankie Harris
4%
John Pak
4%
Ian Holt
4%
Jeremy Gandon
4%
Cooper Dossey
4%
Cameron Champ
4%
Cole Sherwood
4%
Carl Yuan
4%
Dylan Menante
4%
Hunter Wolcott
4%
Jeff Overton
4%
Joseph Bramlett
4%
Josh McCarthy
4%
Brandon Wu
4%
Barend Botha
4%
Matthew Anderson
4%
Max Green
4%
Mitchell Meissner
4%
Noah Goodwin
4%
Kyle Westmoreland
4%
Luke List
4%
Hunter Eichhorn
4%
Daniel Summerhays
3%
David Hansen
3%
Jay Card III
3%
Jorge Garcia
3%
Joshua Creel
3%
Brandon Berry
3%
Augusto Nunez
3%
Chez Reavie
3%
Carson Bacha
3%
Daniel Wetterich
3%
Davis Lamb
3%
Mahanth Chirravuri
3%
Matt Atkins
3%
Michael Johnson
3%
Owen Stamper
3%
Billy Tom Sargent
3%
Ben Taylor
3%
Bryson Nimmer
3%
Matthew NeSmith 50%
Ben Kohles 12%
Caleb VanArragon 11%
Cole Hammer 9.9%
Matthew NeSmith
50%
Ben Kohles
12%
Caleb VanArragon
11%
Cole Hammer
10%
Carson Young
9%
Davis Shore
9%
Filip Jakubcik
9%
Kevin Dougherty
9%
Christian Maas
9%
Austin Hitt
9%
Nicholas Gabrelcik
9%
Brett Stegmaier
9%
David Lingmerth
9%
Hayden Buckley
9%
Jackson Buchanan
9%
Jackson Van Paris
9%
Jacob Solomon
9%
James Nicholas
9%
Jase Summy
9%
Jeremy Paul
9%
Joe Weiler
9%
Joey Herrera
9%
John Marshall Butler
9%
Jorge Fernandez Valdes
9%
Julian Suri
9%
Justin Hastings
9%
Justin Suh
9%
Alvaro Ortiz
9%
Chris Francoeur
9%
Chris Korte
9%
Braden Thornberry
9%
Chad Sewell
9%
Cristobal del Solar
9%
Derek Hitchner
9%
Frankie Capan
9%
Luke Potter
9%
Marshall Meisel
9%
Mason Andersen
9%
Matthew Riedel
9%
Maxwell Moldovan
9%
Nicolo Galletti
9%
Norman Xiong
9%
Ben Martin
9%
Brett White
9%
Bryce Lewis
9%
Kevin Tway
9%
Kyle Dougherty
9%
Logan McAllister
9%
Blaine Hale Jr.
9%
Brendon Todd
9%
Michael Feagles
7%
Doc Redman
6%
Ian Gilligan
6%
Andrew Kozan
6%
Ben Carr
6%
Alistair Docherty
6%
Luke Gutschewski
6%
Michael Thompson
5%
John Daly Jr.
5%
Chan Kim
5%
Frankie Harris
4%
John Pak
4%
Ian Holt
4%
Jeremy Gandon
4%
Cooper Dossey
4%
Cameron Champ
4%
Cole Sherwood
4%
Carl Yuan
4%
Dylan Menante
4%
Hunter Wolcott
4%
Jeff Overton
4%
Joseph Bramlett
4%
Josh McCarthy
4%
Brandon Wu
4%
Barend Botha
4%
Matthew Anderson
4%
Max Green
4%
Mitchell Meissner
4%
Noah Goodwin
4%
Kyle Westmoreland
4%
Luke List
4%
Hunter Eichhorn
4%
Daniel Summerhays
3%
David Hansen
3%
Jay Card III
3%
Jorge Garcia
3%
Joshua Creel
3%
Brandon Berry
3%
Augusto Nunez
3%
Chez Reavie
3%
Carson Bacha
3%
Daniel Wetterich
3%
Davis Lamb
3%
Mahanth Chirravuri
3%
Matt Atkins
3%
Michael Johnson
3%
Owen Stamper
3%
Billy Tom Sargent
3%
Ben Taylor
3%
Bryson Nimmer
3%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Albertsons Boise Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Albertsons Boise Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Korn Ferry Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 23, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website (https://www.pgatour.com/korn-ferry-tour).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/korn-ferry-tourResolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Albertsons Boise Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Albertsons Boise Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Korn Ferry Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 23, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website (https://www.pgatour.com/korn-ferry-tour).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/korn-ferry-tourResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Matthew NeSmith leads the Albertsons Boise Open winner market at 50% implied probability largely due to his proven course history at Hillcrest Country Club, where he captured the 2019 title as part of a strong stretch that earned his PGA Tour card.** The Korn Ferry Tour’s final regular-season event (August 13–16) carries extra weight for 2027 PGA Tour card positioning, and previews explicitly list NeSmith among the five past champions in the field alongside players like Kevin Tway, Michael Thompson, Will Gordon, and Chan Kim. Ben Kohles sits at 13–16% as the highest-ranked player in the field and a five-time Korn Ferry Tour winner, while Cole Hammer (16%) enters ranked near the top-20 bubble for automatic promotion. Doc Redman and Ian Holt, the top two on the current points list with multiple victories this season, also factor into trader consensus. Recent form, such as Redman’s solo fourth at the prior Pinnacle Bank Championship and solid showings from other contenders, supports the broader distribution, though no single player dominates recent results the way NeSmith’s venue-specific record does. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in these established edges on a course that has launched multiple PGA Tour careers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions