Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
0.1 99.9%
<0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$5,091 Vol.
$5,091 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<0.1
No
0.1
Yes
>0.1
No
0.1 99.9%
<0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$5,091 Vol.
$5,091 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<0.1
$2,928 Vol.
No
0.1
$1,314 Vol.
Yes
>0.1
$849 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$5,091End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$5,091End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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