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icon for CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026

CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026

icon for CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026

CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026

I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen) 53%

A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton) 38%

McArthur (HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw) 17%

If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay (Carly Pearce and Riley Green) 11%

Polymarket
NEW

I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen) 53%

A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton) 38%

McArthur (HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw) 17%

If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay (Carly Pearce and Riley Green) 11%

Polymarket
NEW

I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen)

$484 Vol.

53%

A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton)

$1,153 Vol.

38%

McArthur (HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw)

$0 Vol.

17%

If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay (Carly Pearce and Riley Green)

$0 Vol.

11%

Horses and Divorces (Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert)

$0 Vol.

10%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nominee announcements for the 60th CMA Awards on September 10 revealed a tight five-way race for Musical Event of the Year, with “A Song To Sing” (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton) holding the strongest market-implied odds at 39% thanks to Lambert’s seven total nominations and the pair’s established star power. Ella Langley’s breakout campaign, including nine nods overall, bolsters “I Can’t Love You Anymore” with Morgan Wallen at 27.5%, while the remaining contenders—“If I Don’t Leave I’m Gonna Stay” (Carly Pearce and Riley Green), “Horses and Divorces” (Kacey Musgraves featuring Lambert), and “McArthur” (HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw)—trail amid competition from high-profile producers and crossover appeal. Voting by CMA members closes October 27 ahead of the November 18 ceremony, leaving room for late momentum shifts driven by streaming data or industry buzz.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year.

If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,637
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nominee announcements for the 60th CMA Awards on September 10 revealed a tight five-way race for Musical Event of the Year, with “A Song To Sing” (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton) holding the strongest market-implied odds at 39% thanks to Lambert’s seven total nominations and the pair’s established star power. Ella Langley’s breakout campaign, including nine nods overall, bolsters “I Can’t Love You Anymore” with Morgan Wallen at 27.5%, while the remaining contenders—“If I Don’t Leave I’m Gonna Stay” (Carly Pearce and Riley Green), “Horses and Divorces” (Kacey Musgraves featuring Lambert), and “McArthur” (HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw)—trail amid competition from high-profile producers and crossover appeal. Voting by CMA members closes October 27 ahead of the November 18 ceremony, leaving room for late momentum shifts driven by streaming data or industry buzz.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year.

If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,637
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen)" at 53%, followed by "A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton)" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026" is "I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen)" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton)" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.